FNUS75 KGJT 150427
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRWAY CT...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1027 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP SHOWERS
LINGERING THROUGH THE LATE MORNING. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
WEST OF THE REGION LEAVING A FAIRLY TIGHT GRADIENT OVER THE FIRE
AREA THURSDAY. THE GRADIENT WEAKENS AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST
STARTING LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE AS THE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD BY
SATURDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 9-14 MPH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN
                    3-6 MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR AFTER 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3-6 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EARLY BECOMING FAIR BY 1100 AND GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...TOM TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091015.FAIRW.01/GJT