FNUS75 KPUB 151558
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMALL IMPACT TRAINING...FORT CARSON FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
958 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS. EAST TO
NORTH EAST WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME....WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW 70S
WITH RH'S IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20'S. THE RH'S WILL INCREASE TOMORROW
AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL REDUCE TOMORROWS DAYTIME HIGHS BY 10 DEGREES.
 SMOKE DISPERSAL'S WILL BE POOR FOR MOST OF THE GIVEN TIME FRAME DUE IN
PART TO THE WEAK FLOW ALOFT. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE DECENT BUT THERE IS LITTLE
IF ANY UPPER LEVEL WINDS TO MOVE IT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NORTHEASTERLY  AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    NORTHEAST  AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(34 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY(58 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WESTERLY
                    AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(33 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH EASTERLY AT
                    5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...CERU
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091015.SMALL.01/PUB