FNUS72 KJAX 160838
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WASHINGTON OAKS...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
438 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY
AND SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN DURING THE
WEEKEND. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE IN COVERAGE AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA BY THE EVENING HOURS. A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED
DURING THE WEEKEND.

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY LOW ACROSS
THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT MAY BE
BRIEFLY GREATER THAN 15 MPH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT. GUSTY WINDS
WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS NEAR
15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........85     85     80     78     76
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............76     80     82     82     81
RH..............91     79     73     70     72
20 FT WIND......W 13   W 15   W 15   W 15   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1600   1600   1700   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17   W 21   W 21   W 22   W 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     60     60
LAL.............4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........76     82     82     62     52     52
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     71     68     66     65     63
RH..............77     95     100    100    96     93
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 9    NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1200   1200   900    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   NW 14  NW 14  NW 14  NW 15  NW 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............4      3      3      3      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAXIMUM 3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS RABY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091016.WASHI.01/JAX