FNUS72 KMLB 161005
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 9 7...US FISH AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
605 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
INCREASE BY MID MORNING...BECOMING SOMEWHAT GUSTY FROM LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. CCAFS PROFILER
DATA ALREADY SHOWS 20 KNOTS FROM THE SURFACE UP THROUGH 10,000 FEET.
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY LATE MORNING AS SHOWER
ACTIVITY OVER THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES OF WESTERN FLORIDA PUSHES
EASTWARD. THE MAIN BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS FORECAST TO REACH
THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 PM...WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND
ATTENDANT WIND SHIFT TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

INCREASING WINDS WILL PRECLUDE THE THREAT FOR FOG THIS MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 MPH GUSTING TO 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............80  81  82  83  84  83  82  81  80  79  78  77
RH..............88  85  79  77  74  74  74  77  77  79  82  82
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  11  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.16  17  18  18  18  18  18  17  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...GLEN STRATTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091016.97___.01/MLB