FNUS75 KMSO 161417
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
817 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER
THE FIRE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A DECREASE IN MOISTURE
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN DRIVEN...BUT THE
TOP OF THE FIRE MAY SEE SOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 10 MPH.
GIVEN THE TOPOGRAPHY OF THE UNIT...ANY EXPOSED AREAS SHOULD
REALIZE THESE WINDS. SATURDAY THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST AND ALLOW
A STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST AND MIX TO THE BASE OF THE UNIT BY EARLY MORNING. LOWEST
HUMIDITIES AND WARMEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE REALIZED BY SHORTLY
AFTER NOON DUE TO THIS MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 BASE...58-63 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT BASE...38-43 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BASE...SOUTH WINDS 6-8 MPH TOP.

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE WINDS 1-3 AFTER SUNSET BASE...SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 5-6 MPH TOP...INCREASING TO 10-12 MPH BY
                    DAYBREAK.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 BASE...60-65 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...MIKE VANDERPAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091016.BRUSH.01/MSO