FNUS75 KBYZ 181439
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR KID CREEK...BIA, CROW AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
839 AM MDT SUN OCT 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
CAUSING WINDS TO FAVOR NORTHERLY ASPECTS AND THE DRAINAGE THAT THE
BURN SITE IS LOCATED IN. THE FRONT IS WEAK BUT IT WILL SUPPORT
UPVALLEY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
IT WAS MILD AND DRY OVERNIGHT AS WESTERLY WINDS CAUSED POOR
RECOVERIES. CLOUDS TODAY WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS THAN SATURDAY AND
THIS SHOULD KEEP HUMIDITY FROM FALLING MUCH BELOW 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN SATURDAY AS THE WEAK FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE
THEIR HIGHEST AND HUMIDITY LOWEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
HUMIDITY SLIGHTLY INCREASING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
MOISTURE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. DOWNVALLEY WINDS WILL BE
STRONGER TONIGHT THAN LAST NIGHT AND CONTINUE LONGER INTO MONDAY
MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT. IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITY ON MONDAY. BORSUM

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...HIGHEST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT...RISING SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT THIS MORNING...BECOMING UPVALLEY 10-15
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPVALLEY UNTIL 2100...BECOMING DOWNVALLEY 10 TO 15
                    MPH TOWARDS MORNING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ALL
                    DAY.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNVALLEY 10-15 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...DALE GLENMORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091017.KIDCR.01/BYZ