FNUS76 KMFR 171452 FWSMFR SPOT FORECAST FOR BOX CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 752 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND DURING THE DAY...MOVING OVER THE BURN AREA BY EARLY THIS EVENING . THIS FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING DURING THE DAY. THEN ON SUNDAY...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE DAY. THEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN THROUGH THE DAY .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-69. MIN HUMIDITY........32-40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MID MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING BACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-45. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUST TO 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-60. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................5 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...CLARSTROM REQUESTED BY...CASEY BOESPFLUG TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091017.BOXCR.02/MFR