FNUS75 KBOI 181728
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR PADDY FLAT RX...PAYETTE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1128 AM MDT SUN OCT 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PADDY FLAT
BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD HELP FOCUS THE THREAT OF SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS. A MUCH MORE VIGOROUS STORM COMPLEX WILL
ARRIVE TONIGHT WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL EXPECTED BEFORE
MORNING...BUT MUCH MORE RAIN ON MONDAY AS THE PARENT TROUGH MOVES THROUGH
AROUND NOON.  ANOTHER QUARTER INCH OF RAIN IS LIKELY MONDAY FOR A STORM
TOTAL OF THREE TO FOUR TENTHS OF AN INCH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....UPSLOPE SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...525 GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....DOWNSLOPE NORTEAST 2 TO 4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...45 POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....UPSLOPE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...DECKER
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091018.PADDY.01/BOI