FNUS75 KBOU 191030 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY ISLAND...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 426 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUDINESS AROUND TODAY AS SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA BUT NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED. THESE CLOUDS COULD INHIBIT MIXING SOMEWHAT THROUGH 1100 BUT IT SHOULD IMPROVE BY AFTERNOON WITH BETTER DISPERSION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....36. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SKY ISLAND. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/19-04 36 0 37 55 W 6 1 148 W 7 940 P 10/19-05 36 0 37 57 W 7 1 142 W 8 971 P 10/19-06 57 0 36 58 W 7 7 3 1 W23 135 SW 8 1001 P 10/19-07 57 0 37 54 W 6 1 710 W 10 8531 P 10/19-08 57 0 42 45 W 6 1 1285 W 13 16060 P 10/19-09 57 0 49 34 W 7 7 2 1 SW24 1860 W 15 23589 P 10/19-10 57 0 55 26 W 12 1 4478 W 21 112827 V 10/19-11 57 0 59 22 W 16 1 7095 W 28 202064 E 10/19-12 51 0 61 20 W 21 33 2 1 W44 9713 W 35 291301 E 10/19-13 51 0 62 18 W 22 1 10202 W 33 291850 E 10/19-14 51 0 63 18 W 22 1 10691 W 31 292398 E 10/19-15 51 0 64 17 W 21 33 3 1 W33 11180 W 30 292947 E 10/19-16 51 0 63 18 W 18 1 9811 W 29 248697 E 10/19-17 51 0 61 19 W 16 1 8443 W 28 204448 E 10/19-18 52 0 57 22 W 13 13 2 1 W14 7074 W 26 160199 E 10/19-19 52 0 51 29 W 10 1 4806 W 21 107623 V 10/19-20 52 0 47 35 W 8 1 2538 W 16 55047 F 10/19-21 52 0 44 40 W 7 7 2 1 SW22 270 W 10 2471 P 10/19-22 52 0 42 43 W 6 1 246 W 10 2195 P 10/19-23 52 0 41 46 W 6 1 222 W 10 1920 P 10/20-00 52 0 39 50 SW 6 6 2 1 SW29 198 SW 9 1644 P 10/20-01 52 0 37 53 W 6 1 193 W 10 1694 P 10/20-02 52 0 37 54 W 7 1 189 W 10 1743 P 10/20-03 52 0 36 58 W 7 7 2 1 SW52 184 W 12 1793 P 10/20-04 52 0 36 56 W 7 1 227 W 12 2170 P 10/20-05 52 0 36 58 W 8 1 269 W 10 2547 P 10/20-06 74 0 37 54 W 8 8 2 1 SW51 311 W 10 2924 P 10/20-07 74 0 38 54 W 7 1 977 W 10 9023 P 10/20-08 74 0 40 53 W 6 1 1643 W 10 15122 P 10/20-09 74 0 44 47 W 6 6 2 1 SW41 2309 W 10 21220 P 10/20-10 74 0 48 40 W 7 1 3521 W 12 36619 P 10/20-11 74 0 50 35 SW 8 1 4732 SW 13 52017 F 10/20-12 74 30 52 33 SW 9 9 2 1 SW36 5944 SW 13 67416 G 10/20-13 100 30 53 31 SW 8 1 6238 SW 12 62127 G 10/20-14 100 30 53 30 SW 8 1 6532 SW 10 56837 F 10/20-15 100 30 54 29 S 7 7 2 1 SW31 6827 SW 9 51548 F 10/20-16 100 30 53 30 SE 9 1 5962 S 9 44873 F 10/20-17 100 30 51 34 E 10 1 5097 E 8 38197 P 10/20-18 100 60 47 41 NE 12 12 3 1 S16 4233 E 8 31521 P 10/20-19 100 60 42 54 NE 13 1 3409 NE 13 32200 P 10/20-20 100 60 37 67 NE 14 1 2585 NE 17 32879 P 10/20-21 100 60 35 78 NE 15 15 3 1 SW15 1761 NE 22 33558 P 10/20-22 100 60 33 89 NE 15 1 1407 NE 22 26553 P 10/20-23 100 60 32 96 NE 14 1 1052 NE 21 19549 P 10/21-00 100 60 30 94 NE 14 14 2 1 SW 2 698 NE 21 12544 P 10/21-01 100 60 29 93 NE 15 1 689 NE 22 13191 P 10/21-02 100 60 28 98 NE 16 1 679 NE 23 13838 P 10/21-03 100 10 27 95 NE 16 16 2 1 N 7 670 NE 25 14485 P 10/21-04 100 10 26 100 NE 14 1 600 N 21 11306 P 10/21-05 100 10 25 100 NE 12 1 530 N 16 8128 P 10/21-06 46 10 25 100 NE 9 9 2 1 N15 460 N 13 4950 P 10/21-07 46 10 26 99 N 8 1 807 N 12 8270 P 10/21-08 46 10 27 100 N 7 1 1153 N 12 11591 P 10/21-09 46 10 30 88 N 7 7 2 1 N18 1499 N 12 14912 P 10/21-10 46 0 34 73 N 8 1 2290 N 14 29146 P 10/21-11 46 0 36 62 N 9 1 3082 N 15 43380 F 10/21-12 46 0 37 55 NE 12 12 2 1 N26 3873 N 17 57614 F 10/21-13 46 0 38 52 N 12 1 3868 N 17 58624 F 10/21-14 40 0 39 49 N 13 1 3863 N 17 59633 F 10/21-15 40 0 39 48 N 13 13 2 1 N29 3858 N 18 60643 G 10/21-16 40 0 38 49 N 12 1 3195 N 16 47236 F 10/21-17 40 0 37 50 NE 10 1 2533 N 15 33830 P 10/21-18 40 0 36 54 NE 8 8 2 1 N29 1870 N 13 20423 P 10/21-19 40 0 33 62 NE 6 1 1463 N 9 14219 P 10/21-20 40 0 31 69 NE 5 1 1056 N 7 8015 P 10/21-21 24 0 29 72 E 2 2 2 1 N25 648 N 3 1811 P 10/21-22 24 0 28 74 NE 2 1 590 N 2 1412 P 10/21-23 24 0 28 72 NW 2 1 532 W 2 1013 P 10/22-00 24 0 27 71 CALM 1 2 1 NW21 474 CALM 614 P 10/22-01 24 0 26 71 W 2 1 428 W 2 736 P 10/22-02 24 0 25 71 W 2 1 382 W 2 858 P 10/22-03 24 0 25 71 W 2 2 2 1 NW17 336 W 3 980 P 10/22-04 24 0 24 70 W 3 1 291 W 5 971 P 10/22-05 24 0 24 69 W 5 1 245 W 5 962 P 10/22-06 31 0 24 69 NW 5 5 2 1 NW25 199 W 6 953 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DAVE HOWARD REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091019.SKYIS.02/BOU