FNUS75 KBOU 211657 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT EARS PASS ADMIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1049 AM MDT WED OCT 21 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND RESULT IN DRYING CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER ON THURSDAY WITH LOWERING HUMIDITY LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-36. MIN HUMIDITY........85-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2300...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........92-96%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45. MIN HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RABBIT EARS PASS ADMIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/21-10 81 49 33 84 N 5 1 1614 NE 9 15525 P 10/21-11 81 49 36 79 N 8 1 2333 NE 12 25254 P 10/21-12 37 18 38 76 N 10 10 2 1 N14 3052 NE 13 34982 P 10/21-13 37 18 39 73 N 12 1 3160 NE 13 36138 P 10/21-14 37 18 40 70 N 13 1 3268 N 13 37294 P 10/21-15 37 18 40 66 N 13 17 2 1 N24 3377 N 13 38450 P 10/21-16 37 18 40 63 N 13 1 2552 N 13 28445 P 10/21-17 37 18 40 60 N 12 1 1728 N 12 18440 P 10/21-18 0 21 39 58 N 10 10 2 1 N30 904 N 10 8434 P 10/21-19 0 21 38 61 N 9 1 719 N 9 6349 P 10/21-20 0 21 36 66 N 9 1 535 NE 8 4264 P 10/21-21 0 21 34 71 NE 8 8 2 1 N26 350 NE 7 2179 P 10/21-22 0 21 32 72 NE 7 1 320 NE 6 1744 P 10/21-23 0 21 30 71 NE 6 1 291 NE 5 1309 P 10/22-00 0 1 28 70 NE 5 5 2 1 N18 261 NE 3 874 P 10/22-01 0 1 28 70 NE 5 1 262 N 3 831 P 10/22-02 0 1 27 71 NE 6 1 263 W 3 788 P 10/22-03 0 1 27 73 SW 3 3 2 1 N14 264 W 3 744 P 10/22-04 0 1 26 76 SW 3 1 271 W 3 686 P 10/22-05 0 1 25 79 SW 3 1 278 SW 2 629 P 10/22-06 27 0 25 81 S 2 2 2 1 NW16 286 SW 2 571 P 10/22-07 27 0 26 77 SW 2 1 626 SW 2 1913 P 10/22-08 27 0 29 66 SW 2 1 1012 W 3 3389 P 10/22-09 27 0 34 55 W 3 3 2 1 N12 1399 W 3 4865 P 10/22-10 27 0 38 48 W 5 1 2352 W 6 16222 P 10/22-11 27 0 41 47 W 7 1 3305 NW 8 27578 P 10/22-12 60 0 43 46 NW 9 9 3 1 NW 9 4259 NW 10 38934 P 10/22-13 60 0 44 46 NW 10 1 4325 NW 12 41763 F 10/22-14 60 0 44 45 NW 10 1 4392 NW 12 44591 F 10/22-15 60 0 45 44 NW 12 12 3 1 W 9 4458 NW 13 47420 F 10/22-16 60 0 44 44 NW 10 1 4088 NW 13 44084 F 10/22-17 60 0 43 44 NW 10 1 3717 NW 13 40748 F 10/22-18 74 0 42 45 NW 9 9 3 1 NW21 3347 NW 13 37412 P 10/22-19 74 0 39 51 NW 8 1 2341 NW 12 25677 P 10/22-20 74 0 36 57 W 8 1 1335 W 9 13943 P 10/22-21 74 0 35 59 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 330 W 8 2208 P 10/22-22 74 0 34 62 W 6 1 305 W 7 1868 P 10/22-23 74 0 33 65 W 6 1 280 W 6 1528 P 10/23-00 74 0 32 67 SW 5 5 3 1 NW28 255 W 6 1188 P 10/23-01 74 0 32 67 SW 5 1 247 W 5 1101 P 10/23-02 74 0 31 69 SW 5 1 238 SW 5 1014 P 10/23-03 74 0 31 69 SW 5 5 3 1 NW35 229 SW 5 927 P 10/23-04 74 0 30 68 SW 5 1 260 SW 6 1252 P 10/23-05 74 0 30 69 W 6 1 291 W 6 1577 P 10/23-06 74 0 29 69 W 6 6 2 1 NW39 322 W 7 1902 P 10/23-07 74 0 30 69 W 7 1 703 W 8 5177 P 10/23-08 74 0 31 68 W 7 1 1085 W 8 8452 P 10/23-09 67 0 34 62 W 7 7 2 1 NW41 1467 W 9 11728 P 10/23-10 67 0 37 57 W 9 1 2580 W 12 30383 P 10/23-11 67 0 38 54 W 10 1 3694 W 14 49039 F 10/23-12 67 0 40 53 W 13 17 2 1 N43 4808 W 16 67694 G 10/23-13 67 0 40 52 W 13 1 4765 W 17 69084 G 10/23-14 67 0 40 51 W 14 1 4722 W 17 70474 G 10/23-15 67 0 41 51 W 14 20 2 1 N49 4679 W 17 71864 G 10/23-16 67 0 40 52 W 14 1 3275 W 16 49748 F 10/23-17 67 0 40 52 W 14 1 1871 W 15 27631 P 10/23-18 60 0 38 54 W 13 17 2 1 NW45 467 W 14 5515 P 10/23-19 60 0 36 59 W 12 1 394 W 13 4449 P 10/23-20 60 0 34 63 W 10 1 321 W 12 3383 P 10/23-21 60 0 33 65 W 10 10 2 1 NW39 249 W 10 2317 P 10/23-22 60 0 32 67 W 10 1 244 W 10 2259 P 10/23-23 60 0 32 68 W 10 1 240 W 10 2201 P 10/24-00 60 0 31 68 W 9 9 2 1 NW36 236 W 10 2143 P 10/24-01 60 0 31 68 W 9 1 249 W 9 2042 P 10/24-02 60 0 30 68 W 8 1 262 W 8 1942 P 10/24-03 60 0 30 69 W 7 7 2 1 NW45 276 W 8 1841 P 10/24-04 60 0 29 69 W 8 1 277 W 9 2262 P 10/24-05 60 0 29 68 W 9 1 278 W 12 2684 P 10/24-06 65 0 29 68 W 13 17 2 1 NW53 279 W 13 3106 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...TOM EDWARDS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091021.RABBI.01/BOU