FNUS75 KBOU 202151 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 351 PM MDT TUE OCT 20 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE MOVING SOUTH OF COLORADO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS ALOFT. AT LOW LEVELS...A COLD FRONT MOVED ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO EARLIER TODAY WITH COLD AND MOIST AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO THROUGH TONIGHT WILL MAINTAIN THE UPSLOPE FLOW AGAINST THE FOOTHILLS OVERNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. COOL TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL LIMIT THE DEPTH OF THE MIXING LAYER...BUT MODERATE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALLOW GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TO OCCUR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN UNTIL 2100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-30. MAX HUMIDITY........84-92%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42. MIN HUMIDITY........58-66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4500-5400 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-26. MAX HUMIDITY........74-82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-50. MIN HUMIDITY........32-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR REYNOLDS RANCH RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/20-15 94 43 44 68 E 8 8 2 1 SW43 2626 SE 8 17089 P 10/20-16 94 43 42 75 E 7 1 2370 SE 7 14868 P 10/20-17 94 43 41 79 E 6 1 2114 SE 7 12647 P 10/20-18 100 82 40 81 E 5 5 2 1 S24 1858 SE 7 10426 P 10/20-19 100 82 39 79 E 5 1 1878 SE 6 9519 P 10/20-20 100 82 37 75 E 5 1 1898 E 6 8613 P 10/20-21 100 82 36 72 E 5 5 2 1 S20 1917 E 5 7707 P 10/20-22 100 82 35 76 E 5 1 1868 NE 7 10195 P 10/20-23 100 82 34 79 E 5 1 1818 NE 8 12684 P 10/21-00 100 73 32 83 E 3 3 2 1 SW 8 1768 N 10 15172 P 10/21-01 100 73 31 84 E 5 1 1769 N 10 15932 P 10/21-02 100 73 30 82 E 5 1 1770 N 10 16693 P 10/21-03 100 73 30 79 E 5 5 2 1 N13 1771 NE 12 17453 P 10/21-04 100 73 30 76 E 5 1 1843 N 13 19844 P 10/21-05 100 73 29 77 E 5 1 1915 N 14 22235 P 10/21-06 85 35 28 79 E 5 5 2 1 N22 1986 N 14 24627 P 10/21-07 85 35 29 79 E 5 1 2625 N 13 33644 P 10/21-08 85 35 30 79 E 3 1 3442 N 16 51540 F 10/21-09 85 35 31 79 NE 3 3 2 1 NW25 4260 NE 18 69435 G 10/21-10 85 35 33 79 NE 5 1 4583 N 20 76685 G 10/21-11 85 35 34 78 NE 6 1 4906 N 20 83935 G 10/21-12 63 14 35 77 NE 7 7 2 1 NE36 5229 N 20 91184 G 10/21-13 63 14 37 74 NE 8 1 5282 N 18 85176 G 10/21-14 63 14 38 70 NE 8 1 5336 N 17 79169 G 10/21-15 63 14 38 68 NE 8 8 2 1 N40 5389 N 16 73161 G 10/21-16 63 14 38 64 NE 7 1 4985 N 16 68220 G 10/21-17 63 14 37 62 E 6 1 4580 N 16 63280 G 10/21-18 64 10 35 63 E 5 5 2 1 N17 3653 N 17 54396 F 10/21-19 64 10 32 68 NE 5 1 3083 N 15 42996 F 10/21-20 64 10 29 76 NE 3 1 2514 N 14 31595 P 10/21-21 64 10 29 73 N 2 2 2 1 N30 1944 N 12 20195 P 10/21-22 64 10 28 74 N 2 1 1626 N 9 14699 P 10/21-23 64 10 27 73 CALM 1 1309 N 7 9203 P 10/22-00 40 10 26 72 CALM 1 2 1 N26 991 N 5 3707 P 10/22-01 40 10 26 73 CALM 1 786 NW 5 3152 P 10/22-02 40 10 25 73 W 2 1 581 NW 6 2597 P 10/22-03 40 10 25 73 W 6 6 2 1 N21 376 W 6 2042 P 10/22-04 40 10 24 71 W 7 1 345 W 7 2162 P 10/22-05 40 10 24 68 W 8 1 313 W 9 2281 P 10/22-06 40 1 23 67 W 9 9 3 1 N22 281 W 10 2400 P 10/22-07 40 1 24 66 W 8 1 816 W 10 8570 P 10/22-08 40 1 27 59 W 8 1 1351 NW 12 14740 P 10/22-09 40 1 32 50 W 8 8 2 1 N21 1887 NW 13 20910 P 10/22-10 40 1 37 42 W 7 1 2892 NW 14 38735 P 10/22-11 40 1 40 38 NW 6 1 3897 NW 16 56559 F 10/22-12 63 6 42 36 NW 6 6 2 1 NW16 4903 NW 17 74383 G 10/22-13 63 6 43 36 NW 5 1 5117 NW 18 80602 G 10/22-14 63 6 43 36 NW 5 1 5330 NW 18 86822 G 10/22-15 63 6 44 36 NW 5 5 2 1 NW21 5544 NW 20 93041 G 10/22-16 63 6 43 37 NW 5 1 5363 NW 20 88700 G 10/22-17 63 6 42 38 NW 5 1 5183 NW 18 84359 G 10/22-18 60 5 41 39 N 3 3 2 1 NW21 5002 NW 18 80018 G 10/22-19 60 5 37 44 N 3 1 3592 NW 16 55631 F 10/22-20 60 5 35 47 N 3 1 2181 NW 13 31244 P 10/22-21 60 5 34 48 N 3 3 2 1 NW23 771 NW 10 6857 P 10/22-22 60 5 32 49 NW 3 1 621 NW 9 5316 P 10/22-23 60 5 32 50 NW 5 1 470 W 9 3775 P 10/23-00 69 10 31 51 W 5 5 2 1 NW16 320 W 8 2234 P 10/23-01 69 10 30 53 W 5 1 303 W 8 2042 P 10/23-02 69 10 29 54 W 5 1 287 W 7 1850 P 10/23-03 69 10 29 55 NW 5 5 2 1 NW23 271 W 7 1658 P 10/23-04 69 10 28 58 NW 5 1 288 NW 7 1806 P 10/23-05 69 10 28 59 NW 5 1 304 NW 7 1953 P 10/23-06 67 10 27 59 NW 5 5 2 1 NW24 321 NW 8 2101 P 10/23-07 67 10 28 59 NW 5 1 1560 NW 12 25454 P 10/23-08 67 10 31 55 NW 5 1 2798 NW 16 48806 F 10/23-09 67 10 35 47 NW 5 5 2 1 NW24 4037 NW 21 72159 G 10/23-10 67 10 40 41 NW 5 1 4846 NW 21 85279 G 10/23-11 67 10 42 39 NW 5 1 5654 NW 20 98400 G 10/23-12 50 6 44 37 NW 5 5 2 1 NW23 6463 NW 20 111521 V 10/23-13 50 6 45 36 NW 5 1 6705 NW 22 124725 V 10/23-14 50 6 45 37 NW 5 1 6948 NW 23 137929 V 10/23-15 50 6 46 36 NW 5 5 2 1 NW39 7190 W 24 151133 E 10/23-16 50 6 45 37 NW 6 1 7070 W 25 157091 E 10/23-17 50 6 44 39 W 6 1 6950 W 28 163049 E 10/23-18 21 10 43 41 W 6 6 2 1 NW48 6830 NW 29 169007 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...1592 STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091021.REYNO.01/BOU