FNUS75 KBOU 210407 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STAUNTON SP PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1007 PM MDT TUE OCT 20 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE STORM SYSTEM OVER NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO KANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE BACK END OF THIS STORM SHOULD BRING SNOW TO THE BURN SITE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A DECREASE BY AFTERNOON. TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AROUND ONE HALF INCH OF LIQUID...OR AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS STORM. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER WEDNESDAY...FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ENOUGH SNOW IN THE MORNING AND WIND IN THE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY WITH GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 4-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-39. MIN HUMIDITY........57-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....23. MAX HUMIDITY........77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....47. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STAUNTON SP PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/20-21 100 90 35 80 NE 6 6 2 1 SW15 1329 NE 6 6482 P 10/20-22 100 90 33 83 NE 6 1 1255 NE 8 8991 P 10/20-23 100 90 32 84 NE 6 1 1181 N 12 11501 P 10/21-00 100 87 31 87 N 6 6 2 1 E10 1106 N 15 14010 P 10/21-01 100 87 30 88 N 7 1 1098 N 15 14256 P 10/21-02 100 87 29 87 NE 7 1 1090 N 15 14501 P 10/21-03 100 87 28 85 NE 8 8 2 1 NE17 1081 N 16 14747 P 10/21-04 100 87 28 85 NE 8 1 1058 N 17 15569 P 10/21-05 100 87 27 88 NE 9 1 1035 N 18 16392 P 10/21-06 99 72 27 92 NE 9 9 2 1 NE28 1012 N 20 17214 P 10/21-07 99 72 27 93 NE 9 1 1123 N 22 21413 P 10/21-08 99 72 27 94 N 10 1 1234 N 23 25612 P 10/21-09 99 72 27 95 N 10 16 2 1 NE23 1345 N 25 29811 P 10/21-10 99 72 28 94 N 10 1 1484 N 26 34620 P 10/21-11 99 72 28 93 NE 12 1 1623 N 28 39429 P 10/21-12 73 51 29 92 NE 12 17 2 1 NE24 1762 N 29 44237 F 10/21-13 73 51 30 92 NE 12 1 1956 N 29 49090 F 10/21-14 73 51 31 91 N 10 1 2150 N 29 53943 F 10/21-15 73 51 33 87 N 9 9 2 1 NE22 2344 N 29 58796 F 10/21-16 73 51 35 77 NE 8 1 2872 N 28 67149 G 10/21-17 73 51 37 66 NE 6 1 3401 N 26 75502 G 10/21-18 71 18 39 59 NE 5 5 2 1 N23 3929 N 24 83856 G 10/21-19 71 18 34 66 NE 5 1 2501 N 21 48261 F 10/21-20 71 18 30 75 NE 5 1 1955 N 18 34088 P 10/21-21 71 18 29 72 N 5 5 2 1 N25 1408 N 16 19914 P 10/21-22 71 18 28 72 N 3 1 1145 N 14 14833 P 10/21-23 71 18 27 70 N 3 1 883 N 12 9752 P 10/22-00 54 10 27 69 NW 3 3 2 1 N30 620 N 9 4671 P 10/22-01 54 10 26 68 NW 5 1 517 N 8 3605 P 10/22-02 54 10 25 69 NW 5 1 413 NW 7 2539 P 10/22-03 54 10 25 70 W 7 7 2 1 N22 310 NW 6 1472 P 10/22-04 54 10 24 71 W 7 1 279 NW 6 1436 P 10/22-05 54 10 24 72 W 7 1 247 NW 7 1401 P 10/22-06 31 2 24 73 NW 8 8 2 1 N21 215 NW 7 1365 P 10/22-07 31 2 24 72 NW 7 1 553 NW 8 3764 P 10/22-08 31 2 28 63 NW 7 1 891 NW 8 6163 P 10/22-09 31 2 34 51 NW 6 6 2 1 N20 1229 NW 8 8562 P 10/22-10 31 2 39 41 NW 6 1 2405 NW 10 28472 P 10/22-11 31 2 42 36 N 6 1 3581 NW 14 48382 F 10/22-12 58 4 44 35 N 6 6 2 1 NW15 4758 N 16 68292 G 10/22-13 58 4 45 35 N 6 1 4861 NW 16 69913 G 10/22-14 58 4 45 38 N 6 1 4964 NW 16 71534 G 10/22-15 58 4 46 39 N 6 6 2 1 NW23 5067 NW 16 73155 G 10/22-16 58 4 45 40 N 6 1 4144 NW 15 57625 F 10/22-17 58 4 44 39 N 6 1 3220 NW 15 42095 F 10/22-18 59 5 42 40 NE 3 3 2 1 NW18 2297 NW 14 26564 P 10/22-19 59 5 38 45 NE 5 1 1618 NW 12 18215 P 10/22-20 59 5 35 49 N 5 1 938 N 9 9865 P 10/22-21 59 5 34 50 N 5 5 2 1 NW20 259 N 7 1516 P 10/22-22 59 5 32 51 N 5 1 227 NW 7 1346 P 10/22-23 59 5 31 52 NW 5 1 195 NW 7 1176 P 10/23-00 68 10 30 53 W 6 6 2 1 NW16 163 NW 7 1006 P 10/23-01 68 10 29 54 NW 6 1 159 NW 7 1001 P 10/23-02 68 10 28 56 NW 6 1 155 NW 7 995 P 10/23-03 68 10 28 58 NW 6 6 2 1 NW20 150 NW 8 990 P 10/23-04 68 10 27 60 NW 6 1 159 NW 7 1026 P 10/23-05 68 10 27 62 NW 6 1 169 NW 7 1063 P 10/23-06 67 10 26 63 NW 6 6 3 1 NW25 178 NW 7 1100 P 10/23-07 67 10 27 63 NW 6 1 473 NW 9 4568 P 10/23-08 67 10 30 57 NW 6 1 768 NW 10 8037 P 10/23-09 67 10 36 47 NW 5 5 2 1 NW25 1063 NW 13 11506 P 10/23-10 67 10 41 38 NW 5 1 3183 NW 15 49004 F 10/23-11 67 10 44 35 N 5 1 5304 NW 17 86502 G 10/23-12 51 7 46 35 N 5 5 3 1 NW18 7424 NW 20 124001 V 10/23-13 51 7 47 33 N 5 1 7540 NW 21 132745 V 10/23-14 51 7 48 32 N 5 1 7656 NW 21 141489 V 10/23-15 51 7 48 33 N 5 5 2 1 NW28 7772 NW 22 150233 E 10/23-16 51 7 48 32 N 5 1 7322 NW 23 143317 V 10/23-17 51 7 46 35 N 5 1 6872 NW 23 136401 V 10/23-18 22 10 45 37 N 5 5 2 1 NW45 6422 NW 23 129485 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091021.STAUN.01/BOU