FNUS75 KGJT 211426
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT PASS- FERNDALE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
826 AM MDT WED OCT 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL BRING WRAP
AROUND MOISTURE OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS MORNING. THE LOW WILL
SHIFT EAST DECREASING SHOWERS AND CLOUD COVER LATE THIS MORNING
AND THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING DRIER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH AN EMBEDDED WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. FAIR FROM 1500 TO 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN
                    TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300 THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...TOM EDWARDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091021.RABBI.01/GJT