FNUS73 KPAH 211605 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TOWER RX BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1105 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND LOW PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS OUR REGION. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE THURSDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500-3900 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 70 71 71 70 68 RH..............45 42 39 39 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54. RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 61 59 57 56 55 RH..............52 58 62 67 72 77 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 61 67 69 RH..............80 72 63 66 20 FT WIND......SE 2G10 SE 5G15 SE 6G15 SE 6G10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...TIM VETTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091021.TOWER.01/PAH