FNUS76 KSEW 202340
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARACO PILES...USFS OLYMPIC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
440 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA AROUND 8 AM
THIS MORNING. THE STEADY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 2 AM
AND 5 AM AND TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM. TOTAL
RAINFALL FOR THE EVENT SHOULD BE AROUND A QUARTER INCH ON THE FIRE
AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME WEST TO
SOUTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE WILL KEEP THURSDAY
DRY IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER FRONT EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN IN THE MORNING THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.16 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
FREEZING LEVEL 8400 FEET. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. FREEZING LEVEL 5400 FEET. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
FREEZING LEVEL 7300 FEET. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CERNIGLIA
REQUESTED BY...DON SVETICH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091021.CARAC.01/SEW