FNUS75 KBOU 221431 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT EARS PASS ADMIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 831 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED FOR THE BURN AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. BY FRIDAY MORNING...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT MOVES IN. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-28. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RABBIT EARS PASS ADMIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/22-08 19 0 28 59 NW 7 1 1295 NW 6 6147 P 10/22-09 19 0 33 51 NW 8 8 2 1 NW28 1802 NW 6 8469 P 10/22-10 19 0 37 46 NW 8 1 2699 NW 8 23504 P 10/22-11 62 0 39 45 NW 9 1 3597 NW 12 38539 P 10/22-12 62 18 41 46 W 9 9 2 1 N29 4494 NW 14 53574 F 10/22-13 62 18 42 48 W 10 1 4629 NW 15 60591 G 10/22-14 62 18 42 50 NW 12 1 4764 NW 16 67608 G 10/22-15 62 18 42 51 NW 13 17 2 1 NW25 4900 NW 17 74625 G 10/22-16 62 18 42 51 NW 13 1 4172 NW 17 62771 G 10/22-17 62 18 41 50 NW 13 1 3444 NW 17 50916 F 10/22-18 74 0 38 51 NW 12 12 2 1 NW26 2716 NW 16 39061 P 10/22-19 74 0 35 59 NW 8 1 1994 NW 14 27321 P 10/22-20 74 0 32 68 W 8 1 1272 W 10 15582 P 10/22-21 74 0 31 70 W 7 7 2 1 NW30 549 W 8 3842 P 10/22-22 74 0 30 75 W 6 1 502 W 8 3390 P 10/22-23 74 0 29 78 W 6 1 455 W 7 2938 P 10/23-00 74 0 28 81 W 5 5 3 1 NW35 409 W 7 2485 P 10/23-01 74 0 27 82 W 5 1 400 W 7 2397 P 10/23-02 74 0 26 85 W 5 1 391 W 7 2308 P 10/23-03 74 0 26 85 W 5 5 2 1 NW44 382 W 7 2220 P 10/23-04 74 0 25 85 W 5 1 379 W 7 2142 P 10/23-05 74 0 25 100 W 3 1 376 W 6 2064 P 10/23-06 67 0 24 82 W 3 3 2 1 N52 373 W 6 1986 P 10/23-07 67 0 25 66 SW 2 1 2001 W 9 18537 P 10/23-08 67 0 27 63 SW 2 1 2882 NW 10 29856 P 10/23-09 67 0 31 57 S 2 2 2 1 N66 3763 NW 13 41174 F 10/23-10 67 0 36 51 SW 3 1 4057 NW 14 51158 F 10/23-11 67 0 38 48 W 3 1 4352 NW 16 61143 G 10/23-12 67 0 39 46 W 5 5 4 1 N55 4646 NW 17 71127 G 10/23-13 67 0 39 45 W 7 1 4617 NW 18 72428 G 10/23-14 67 0 40 44 W 8 1 4589 NW 18 73730 G 10/23-15 67 0 40 43 W 9 9 3 1 N52 4560 NW 18 75031 G 10/23-16 67 0 39 43 W 9 1 4095 W 18 65552 G 10/23-17 67 0 39 44 W 8 1 3630 W 17 56073 F 10/23-18 60 0 37 46 W 7 7 3 1 N47 3165 W 17 46594 F 10/23-19 60 0 35 50 W 6 1 2350 W 15 33404 P 10/23-20 60 0 34 53 SW 5 1 1535 W 13 20215 P 10/23-21 60 0 33 55 SW 5 5 2 1 NW41 720 W 12 7025 P 10/23-22 60 0 32 58 SW 5 1 650 W 12 6470 P 10/23-23 60 0 32 59 SW 6 1 580 W 12 5916 P 10/24-00 60 0 31 61 W 6 6 2 1 NW36 509 W 13 5362 P 10/24-01 60 0 30 63 SW 5 1 509 W 12 4959 P 10/24-02 60 0 30 64 SW 3 1 509 W 10 4556 P 10/24-03 60 0 30 66 CALM 1 2 1 NW44 508 W 9 4153 P 10/24-04 60 0 29 68 SW 2 1 528 W 10 4519 P 10/24-05 60 0 29 69 SW 2 1 549 W 10 4885 P 10/24-06 65 0 29 70 SW 3 3 2 1 W51 569 W 10 5251 P 10/24-07 65 0 29 69 SW 5 1 1074 W 13 14566 P 10/24-08 65 0 31 64 SW 6 1 1580 W 16 23880 P 10/24-09 65 0 35 56 SW 7 7 2 1 NW48 2085 W 18 33194 P 10/24-10 65 0 38 49 W 9 1 2727 W 21 53171 F 10/24-11 65 0 40 46 W 12 1 3369 W 24 73147 G 10/24-12 58 0 41 44 W 13 17 5 1 NW45 4010 W 26 93124 G 10/24-13 58 0 42 43 W 14 1 4371 W 28 105275 V 10/24-14 58 0 42 44 W 14 1 4733 W 29 117426 V 10/24-15 58 0 43 44 W 14 20 4 1 NW52 5094 W 29 129577 V 10/24-16 58 0 42 47 W 14 1 4507 W 28 111358 V 10/24-17 58 0 41 50 W 14 1 3921 W 26 93138 G 10/24-18 58 0 38 57 W 14 20 3 1 NW59 3335 W 25 74918 G 10/24-19 58 0 34 64 W 10 1 2611 W 23 55590 F 10/24-20 58 0 32 68 W 10 1 1887 W 20 36262 P 10/24-21 58 0 30 68 NW 12 12 3 1 W55 1163 W 17 16934 P 10/24-22 58 0 29 69 NW 12 1 1561 NW 17 24377 P 10/24-23 58 0 28 68 NW 13 1 1960 NW 18 31820 P 10/25-00 62 0 27 68 NW 13 17 4 1 W52 2359 NW 20 39263 P 10/25-01 62 0 26 71 NW 12 1 2291 NW 18 36805 P 10/25-02 62 0 25 74 W 10 1 2223 NW 17 34346 P 10/25-03 62 0 25 77 W 9 9 5 1 NW59 2155 NW 17 31887 P 10/25-04 62 0 24 80 W 9 1 2191 NW 16 31544 P 10/25-05 62 0 24 84 W 8 1 2228 W 16 31201 P 10/25-06 62 0 23 86 W 8 8 4 1 NW66 2264 W 16 30858 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TOM EDWARDS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091022.RABBI.01/BOU