FNUS75 KRIW 221919
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE RED CREEK RX...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
119 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL WYOMING THIS
EVENING. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE AREA DURING THE
EVENING. A MUCH STRONGER PACIFIC TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH INCREASING WEST WIND EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG TO VERY STRONG WEST WIND IS
EXPECTED OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED
BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BY 1500. (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (8000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 BY 1200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (92600
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
17 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 17 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN DUNKLEE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091022.LITTL.02/RIW