FNUS75 KRIW 231820
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE RED CREEK RX...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1220 PM MDT FRI OCT 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING PACIFIC TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT. WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS THE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACH. A BAND OF OF LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. STRONG WEST
WIND AND ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN CLOUDS CONTINUING
                    TO THICKEN THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (97000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10500-48700 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-53 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AROUND MID DAY.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (126000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 17 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 17 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN DUNKLEE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091023.LITTL.01/RIW