FNUS75 KGJT 250231
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKEYE WEST RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
831 PM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ON SUNDAY BUT WITH
ASSOCIATED SHOWERS STAYING WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE.
GRADIENT WINDS WILL OVERCOME LIMITED VERTICAL MIXING FOR GOOD
AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSAL. A STRONG SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL
SET UP WITH SUNSET AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY LATE MORNING. MONDAY...HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE REGION FOR POOR
SMOKE DISPERSAL. TUESDAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS SHIFT
TO COLD NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
EXPECT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-53 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 5-10
                    MPH BY 1200. AFTERNOON GUSTS  TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1200.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 500 BY 1000...AND 1000+ BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT 1000 INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY (NORTHWEST) 1-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MIN OF 5000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO UPVALLEY
                    1-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 20000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 2000 FT
                    AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...TYKO ISAACSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091025.BUCKE.02/GJT