FNUS75 KGJT 261821
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLD SPRINGS ASPEN RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1220 PM MDT MON OCT 26 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1215 MDT ON OCTOBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STABLE AIR MASS WILL BE IN CONTROL TODAY AS A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSES OVER THE AREA...RESULTING IN POOR SMOKE
DISPERSAL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT AND WINTER STORM THAT WILL AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED
BETWEEN NOON AND 1400 ON TUESDAY...WITH RAIN OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION CHANGING OVER TO SNOW AT THAT TIME. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). MAINLY HIGH THIN
                    CLOUDS. THICKENING DURING THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 4-8 MPH. AFTER 1400
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH MAY AT TIMES MIX
                    TO THE SURFACE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) TOWARDS MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH  WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200-28400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 28 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-100%). SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING
                    BY MIDDAY...THEN INCREASING LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH...
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST BETWEEN 1200 AND 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH BECOMING...NORTHWEST BY 1400
                    THEN DECREASING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN YEAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091026.COLDS.01/GJT