FNUS75 KBOU 271230 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE LAKES PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 630 AM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN U.S. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME CONTINUOUS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN VARIABLE 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORE LAKES PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/27-06 95 7 30 49 SE 5 5 2 1 W46 967 SW 14 11667 P 10/27-07 95 7 31 50 SE 3 1 1210 SW 15 15498 P 10/27-08 95 7 33 51 SE 3 1 1452 SW 15 19329 P 10/27-09 95 7 34 51 SE 5 5 2 1 SW53 1695 SW 16 23160 P 10/27-10 95 7 35 52 S 7 1 2506 SW 18 43084 F 10/27-11 95 7 37 52 S 10 1 3316 SW 21 63009 G 10/27-12 95 24 37 52 SW 14 21 2 1 SW60 4127 SW 23 82933 G 10/27-13 95 24 37 54 SW 16 1 4059 SW 22 76512 G 10/27-14 95 24 36 55 SW 17 1 3991 SW 21 70091 G 10/27-15 95 34 35 57 SW 17 26 2 1 SW54 3923 SW 18 63670 G 10/27-16 95 34 33 59 SW 15 1 3566 SW 15 49539 F 10/27-17 95 34 32 62 S 12 1 3210 SW 12 35407 P 10/27-18 100 71 30 66 S 8 8 2 1 SW47 2853 SW 8 21275 P 10/27-19 100 71 29 71 S 7 1 2597 SW 8 18566 P 10/27-20 100 71 28 78 S 6 1 2340 S 8 15856 P 10/27-21 100 71 27 84 S 6 6 3 1 SW43 2083 S 7 13146 P 10/27-22 100 71 27 86 S 7 1 1994 S 10 17630 P 10/27-23 100 71 26 86 E 7 1 1905 SE 14 22115 P 10/28-00 100 78 26 84 E 8 8 3 1 S38 1816 E 17 26600 P 10/28-01 100 78 25 82 E 7 1 1893 E 17 29355 P 10/28-02 100 78 24 79 E 7 1 1970 E 18 32110 P 10/28-03 100 78 23 78 E 6 6 3 1 S35 2047 E 20 34865 P 10/28-04 100 78 23 81 E 6 1 2155 E 22 41061 F 10/28-05 100 78 22 87 E 6 1 2263 E 24 47257 F 10/28-06 100 68 22 95 E 16 25 3 1 S31 2371 E 26 53452 F 10/28-07 100 68 22 91 E 9 1 915 E 24 20272 P 10/28-08 100 68 23 90 E 13 1 1256 E 26 29252 P 10/28-09 100 68 23 89 E 17 28 3 1 S28 1596 E 28 38231 P 10/28-10 100 68 25 87 E 17 1 2075 E 28 50709 F 10/28-11 100 68 26 89 E 17 1 2554 E 29 63187 G 10/28-12 100 81 28 88 E 17 28 3 1 SE29 3033 E 29 75665 G 10/28-13 100 81 28 90 E 17 1 3061 E 26 71092 G 10/28-14 100 81 28 90 E 17 1 3089 E 25 66518 G 10/28-15 100 81 28 88 E 16 25 3 1 S38 3117 E 23 61944 G 10/28-16 100 81 28 88 E 16 1 3050 E 23 60345 G 10/28-17 100 81 27 88 E 15 1 2983 E 23 58746 F 10/28-18 95 60 25 91 E 15 24 3 1 S26 2916 E 23 57146 F 10/28-19 95 60 23 96 E 15 1 2678 E 21 49309 F 10/28-20 95 60 21 98 E 14 1 2440 E 20 41471 F 10/28-21 95 60 20 96 E 14 22 3 1 S18 2203 E 17 33633 P 10/28-22 95 60 19 95 NE 10 1 2041 E 16 29393 P 10/28-23 95 60 19 92 NE 10 1 1878 E 15 25152 P 10/29-00 95 50 18 91 NE 9 9 3 1 SE13 1716 E 14 20912 P 10/29-01 95 50 18 91 NE 9 1 1575 E 14 19126 P 10/29-02 95 50 17 91 NE 9 1 1433 NE 14 17340 P 10/29-03 95 50 17 92 NE 8 8 3 1 E 8 1292 NE 14 15555 P 10/29-04 95 50 16 93 NE 8 1 1495 NE 15 20111 P 10/29-05 95 50 16 94 NE 8 1 1698 NE 16 24667 P 10/29-06 91 46 16 97 NE 7 7 3 1 NE 9 1901 NE 17 29223 P 10/29-07 91 46 16 97 N 8 1 2392 NE 16 32210 P 10/29-08 91 46 17 93 N 8 1 2882 NE 15 35198 P 10/29-09 91 46 20 85 N 8 8 3 1 E15 3372 NE 13 38185 P 10/29-10 91 46 23 77 N 8 1 4019 N 13 45317 F 10/29-11 91 46 24 72 NW 9 1 4666 N 13 52449 F 10/29-12 91 38 26 70 NW 9 9 3 1 E10 5313 N 13 59581 F 10/29-13 91 38 26 67 NW 9 1 5503 N 14 63793 G 10/29-14 91 38 27 65 NW 9 1 5694 N 14 68004 G 10/29-15 91 38 27 63 NW 9 9 2 1 N16 5884 N 14 72216 G 10/29-16 91 38 27 64 NW 10 1 5662 NW 15 74919 G 10/29-17 91 38 26 67 NW 10 1 5441 NW 16 77623 G 10/29-18 74 27 24 73 W 10 10 2 1 N30 5219 NW 17 80327 G 10/29-19 74 27 22 85 W 10 1 5003 NW 18 78726 G 10/29-20 74 27 20 87 W 10 1 4787 NW 18 77126 G 10/29-21 74 27 20 86 W 10 10 2 1 N40 4570 NW 20 75526 G 10/29-22 74 27 19 87 W 10 1 4200 NW 20 69326 G 10/29-23 74 27 18 87 W 10 1 3829 NW 18 63125 G 10/30-00 74 27 18 87 W 10 10 2 1 N44 3458 W 18 56924 F 10/30-01 74 27 17 87 W 10 1 3312 W 21 57901 F 10/30-02 74 27 17 88 W 10 1 3166 W 22 58878 F 10/30-03 74 27 16 85 W 10 10 2 1 N39 3020 W 23 59855 F 10/30-04 74 27 16 83 W 12 1 2751 W 22 53713 F 10/30-05 74 27 16 81 SW 12 1 2482 W 22 47571 F 10/30-06 67 27 16 82 SW 12 12 2 1 N60 2213 W 22 41429 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091027.GOREL.01/BOU