FNUS75 KBOU 270124 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F ...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 724 PM MDT MON OCT 26 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TUESDAY THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-33. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 16-26 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-47. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-23 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH UP TO 8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MIN HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F . +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/26-18 59 0 37 32 W 16 25 2 1 NW25 1842 W 22 34567 P 10/26-19 59 0 36 33 W 17 1 1511 W 24 30248 P 10/26-20 59 0 34 34 W 20 1 1179 W 26 25928 P 10/26-21 59 0 33 34 W 21 33 2 1 NW21 847 W 29 21608 P 10/26-22 59 0 32 33 W 21 1 768 W 29 19135 P 10/26-23 59 0 31 31 W 20 1 688 W 28 16663 P 10/27-00 62 0 31 30 W 20 31 2 1 NW28 608 W 26 14190 P 10/27-01 62 0 31 29 W 21 1 544 W 26 12598 P 10/27-02 62 0 31 30 W 22 1 480 W 26 11005 P 10/27-03 62 0 31 31 W 23 37 3 1 W26 417 W 26 9413 P 10/27-04 62 0 30 35 W 23 1 406 W 28 9720 P 10/27-05 62 0 30 41 W 23 1 396 W 29 10027 P 10/27-06 80 6 30 44 W 23 37 3 1 W32 386 W 31 10335 P 10/27-07 80 6 31 45 W 21 1 407 W 30 10335 P 10/27-08 80 6 32 44 W 17 1 428 W 28 10335 P 10/27-09 80 6 34 44 W 13 21 3 1 W47 449 W 26 10336 P 10/27-10 80 6 36 43 W 12 1 1047 W 25 22315 P 10/27-11 80 6 39 42 W 12 1 1646 W 24 34295 P 10/27-12 89 27 42 38 W 10 10 2 1 SW40 2244 W 24 46275 F 10/27-13 89 27 43 39 W 8 1 3252 W 24 69405 G 10/27-14 89 27 43 40 W 6 1 4259 SW 25 92536 G 10/27-15 89 29 43 42 W 3 3 2 1 S31 5267 SW 25 115667 V 10/27-16 89 29 42 44 W 2 1 5227 SW 23 104692 V 10/27-17 89 29 40 48 CALM 1 5187 SW 21 93717 G 10/27-18 93 63 39 49 CALM 0 2 1 SW35 2488 SW 9 19347 P 10/27-19 93 63 35 57 CALM 1 1747 SW 7 13012 P 10/27-20 93 63 32 63 N 2 1 1006 S 3 6676 P 10/27-21 93 63 30 67 N 3 3 2 1 S26 266 CALM 341 P 10/27-22 93 63 29 72 NE 5 1 568 S 2 1807 P 10/27-23 93 63 28 75 NE 5 1 869 SE 3 3274 P 10/28-00 100 80 27 78 E 6 6 2 1 S32 1171 E 5 4741 P 10/28-01 100 80 26 79 E 7 1 1136 E 6 5309 P 10/28-02 100 80 25 80 NE 7 1 1100 E 6 5876 P 10/28-03 100 80 24 82 NE 7 7 2 1 S38 1065 E 7 6444 P 10/28-04 100 80 24 83 NE 8 1 1013 E 8 6833 P 10/28-05 100 80 23 86 NE 8 1 961 NE 9 7222 P 10/28-06 100 84 23 88 N 8 8 2 1 S43 910 NE 9 7611 P 10/28-07 100 84 23 87 N 8 1 1174 NE 9 9132 P 10/28-08 100 84 22 92 N 8 1 1439 E 9 10652 P 10/28-09 100 84 23 92 N 9 9 2 1 S54 1704 E 8 12173 P 10/28-10 100 84 24 91 N 9 1 2142 E 7 12664 P 10/28-11 100 84 25 92 N 9 1 2579 E 6 13156 P 10/28-12 100 84 25 92 N 9 9 2 1 S33 3017 E 6 13647 P 10/28-13 100 84 25 93 N 9 1 3352 E 6 15235 P 10/28-14 100 84 26 92 N 9 1 3687 E 6 16824 P 10/28-15 100 84 26 90 N 9 14 2 1 S21 4022 E 6 18412 P 10/28-16 100 84 25 89 N 9 1 3749 E 3 12555 P 10/28-17 100 84 25 88 N 9 1 3477 E 2 6698 P 10/28-18 100 70 24 90 N 9 9 2 1 S36 3204 CALM 841 P 10/28-19 100 70 22 93 N 9 1 3147 CALM 4190 P 10/28-20 100 70 21 96 N 9 1 3090 NE 2 7539 P 10/28-21 100 70 21 95 N 9 9 2 1 S30 3033 NE 5 10887 P 10/28-22 100 70 20 95 N 9 1 3026 NE 5 10863 P 10/28-23 100 70 20 94 N 9 1 3018 N 5 10839 P 10/29-00 100 70 19 93 N 9 9 2 1 S31 3010 N 5 10815 P 10/29-01 100 70 19 91 N 9 1 3048 N 6 15525 P 10/29-02 100 70 19 90 N 9 1 3085 N 8 20235 P 10/29-03 100 70 18 89 N 9 14 2 1 S15 3123 N 9 24945 P 10/29-04 100 70 18 87 N 9 1 2963 N 10 27060 P 10/29-05 100 70 18 86 N 10 1 2803 N 13 29174 P 10/29-06 88 41 18 85 NW 10 16 2 1 S 3 2643 N 14 31288 P 10/29-07 88 41 18 83 NW 12 1 2962 NW 15 38332 P 10/29-08 88 41 19 79 N 12 1 3281 NW 16 45376 F 10/29-09 88 41 21 73 N 13 18 2 1 N18 3600 NW 17 52420 F 10/29-10 88 41 22 67 N 14 1 4084 NW 18 65099 G 10/29-11 88 41 23 64 N 14 1 4569 NW 20 77777 G 10/29-12 88 41 24 62 N 14 21 2 1 N21 5054 NW 21 90456 G 10/29-13 88 41 25 61 N 14 1 5002 NW 22 95525 G 10/29-14 88 41 25 60 N 13 1 4950 NW 23 100594 V 10/29-15 88 41 25 60 N 12 17 2 1 N31 4898 NW 25 105662 V 10/29-16 88 41 25 62 N 10 1 4326 NW 25 94092 G 10/29-17 88 41 24 66 NW 9 1 3753 NW 25 82521 G 10/29-18 62 15 23 74 NW 8 8 2 1 NW30 3180 NW 25 70950 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091027.SUGAR.01/BOU