FNUS73 KEAX 271255
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
755 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DENSE MORNING RIVER FOG WILL BURN OFF BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM. OTHERWISE..
CALM WINDS WILL BECOME STEADY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 8 AND 10 MPH BY NOON.
THIS SHOULD KEEP THE SMOKE PLUME SOUTH AND PARALLEL TO INTERSTATE 29.
SKIES WILL BE GENERALLY SUNNY THIS MORNING WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING AS A MOIST INVERSION DEVELOPS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0 TO 10 PERCENT SKY COVERAGE).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........10  15  15  20  20  30  35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  54  57  58  59  58  57
RH..............54  48  45  43  42  44  46
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  11  11  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX....4   5   5   5   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). WITH AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........34  36  39  43  47  50  52  55  60  65  70  75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  53  50  47  46  45  45  45  45  45  45  44
RH..............51  57  64  70  80  85  90  90  95  95  95  95
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..13  12  12  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15          10  10  10  10  15
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT SKY COVERAGE).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BOOKBINDER
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091027.UNIT3.01/EAX