FNUS75 KBOU 280039 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN 6B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 640 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO COLORADO. THE TROUGH PUSHES OVER THE BURN AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS... AND LIFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL TAPERING OFF THURSDAY DURING THE DAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 600-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31. MIN HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-19. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7200-8200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EVERGREEN 6B. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/27-18 97 42 38 72 E 5 5 2 1 SW37 4775 S 8 32507 P 10/27-19 97 42 34 78 E 3 1 3783 SE 8 25998 P 10/27-20 97 42 31 83 E 3 1 2790 SE 8 19489 P 10/27-21 97 42 28 86 E 2 2 2 1 SW35 1798 E 8 12980 P 10/27-22 97 42 26 89 E 2 1 1460 E 9 10822 P 10/27-23 97 42 25 91 E 3 1 1121 E 9 8664 P 10/28-00 100 87 24 93 E 5 5 3 1 S44 783 E 9 6506 P 10/28-01 100 87 23 94 E 6 1 729 E 10 6345 P 10/28-02 100 87 23 94 NE 7 1 675 NE 10 6185 P 10/28-03 100 87 22 94 NE 8 8 3 1 S45 621 NE 12 6024 P 10/28-04 100 87 21 95 NE 9 1 934 NE 12 9781 P 10/28-05 100 87 21 95 NE 9 1 1247 NE 13 13538 P 10/28-06 100 85 20 96 NE 9 9 3 1 S38 1560 NE 13 17295 P 10/28-07 100 85 19 100 N 8 1 1601 NE 14 19450 P 10/28-08 100 85 19 100 N 8 1 1642 NE 15 21605 P 10/28-09 100 85 19 100 N 8 8 3 1 S25 1683 NE 16 23759 P 10/28-10 100 85 20 100 N 8 1 2303 NE 13 21032 P 10/28-11 100 85 21 100 N 8 1 2923 N 9 18305 P 10/28-12 100 91 23 100 N 8 8 2 1 S18 3544 N 5 15578 P 10/28-13 100 91 23 100 N 8 1 3860 N 5 15783 P 10/28-14 100 91 23 99 N 8 1 4177 N 5 15988 P 10/28-15 100 91 23 98 N 9 9 2 1 SW20 4493 N 5 16193 P 10/28-16 100 91 22 99 N 9 1 4738 N 6 23348 P 10/28-17 100 91 21 100 N 9 1 4982 N 7 30503 P 10/28-18 100 100 27 76 N 9 9 2 1 SW12 5227 N 8 37658 P 10/28-19 100 100 24 83 N 9 1 4989 N 8 36188 P 10/28-20 100 100 22 88 N 9 1 4751 N 8 34718 P 10/28-21 100 100 21 88 N 10 10 2 1 S 2 4514 N 8 33248 P 10/28-22 100 100 20 89 NE 9 1 4185 N 9 31517 P 10/28-23 100 100 19 88 NE 9 1 3857 N 9 29786 P 10/29-00 100 86 19 88 NE 9 9 2 1 CALM 3529 N 9 28055 P 10/29-01 100 86 18 88 N 9 1 3552 N 10 30918 P 10/29-02 100 86 17 88 N 9 1 3576 N 10 33781 P 10/29-03 100 86 17 88 N 9 9 2 1 S15 3600 N 12 36645 P 10/29-04 100 86 17 88 N 9 1 3632 N 13 41037 F 10/29-05 100 86 16 88 N 9 1 3665 N 14 45429 F 10/29-06 97 61 16 88 N 8 8 2 1 SW12 3697 N 15 49821 F 10/29-07 97 61 16 85 N 8 1 4180 N 15 54027 F 10/29-08 97 61 18 78 N 8 1 4663 N 15 58232 F 10/29-09 97 61 21 68 N 8 8 2 1 W 5 5145 N 14 62437 G 10/29-10 97 61 24 59 N 8 1 5997 N 14 71993 G 10/29-11 97 61 26 53 N 7 1 6849 N 14 81548 G 10/29-12 97 60 28 51 N 7 7 2 1 N10 7701 N 14 91103 G 10/29-13 97 60 28 49 N 7 1 7911 NW 15 103531 V 10/29-14 97 60 29 49 N 6 1 8122 NW 16 115960 V 10/29-15 97 60 29 49 NW 5 5 2 1 N20 8333 NW 17 128388 V 10/29-16 97 60 29 52 NW 5 1 7678 NW 18 125193 V 10/29-17 97 60 28 56 W 3 1 7023 NW 21 121997 V 10/29-18 71 30 26 63 W 3 3 2 1 N31 6368 NW 22 118802 V 10/29-19 71 30 24 75 W 5 1 5468 NW 22 104220 V 10/29-20 71 30 22 84 W 7 1 4569 NW 23 89638 G 10/29-21 71 30 21 87 W 8 8 2 1 N35 3670 NW 23 75056 G 10/29-22 71 30 20 88 W 9 1 3037 NW 24 62744 G 10/29-23 71 30 19 86 W 12 1 2405 NW 24 50432 F 10/30-00 71 20 18 84 W 13 13 2 1 NW29 1773 NW 25 38120 P 10/30-01 71 20 18 82 W 14 1 1636 NW 24 35004 P 10/30-02 71 20 17 80 W 14 1 1500 NW 24 31888 P 10/30-03 71 20 17 78 W 14 14 2 1 NW32 1364 NW 24 28772 P 10/30-04 71 20 17 76 W 15 1 1191 NW 25 25977 P 10/30-05 71 20 16 74 W 15 1 1019 NW 26 23182 P 10/30-06 51 20 16 73 W 16 16 2 1 N63 846 NW 28 20387 P 10/30-07 51 20 16 74 W 17 1 1010 NW 29 24876 P 10/30-08 51 20 19 67 W 16 1 1174 NW 29 29365 P 10/30-09 51 20 24 57 W 15 15 3 1 N74 1337 NW 29 33855 P 10/30-10 51 20 29 49 W 13 1 1536 NW 28 36507 P 10/30-11 51 20 32 44 W 12 1 1735 NW 26 39160 P 10/30-12 51 20 35 42 W 10 10 2 1 N64 1934 N 25 41813 F 10/30-13 51 20 36 40 W 10 1 1912 NW 22 37301 P 10/30-14 51 20 36 40 W 9 1 1890 NW 20 32789 P 10/30-15 51 20 37 38 W 9 9 2 1 N66 1869 NW 17 28277 P 10/30-16 51 20 36 39 W 9 1 1577 NW 18 24972 P 10/30-17 51 20 35 41 SW 10 1 1285 NW 20 21668 P 10/30-18 45 5 33 44 SW 10 10 2 1 N54 993 NW 21 18364 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091028.EVERG.01/BOU