FNUS75 KBOU 280032 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLD HILL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 631 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO COLORADO. THE TROUGH PUSHES OVER THE BURN AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS... AND LIFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL TAPERING OFF THURSDAY DURING THE DAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 600-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-28. MIN HUMIDITY........85-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GOLD HILL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/27-18 100 79 31 90 E 5 5 2 1 SW22 3285 E 8 23882 P 10/27-19 100 79 29 97 E 5 1 2512 E 9 18582 P 10/27-20 100 79 26 100 NE 6 1 1738 E 9 13282 P 10/27-21 100 79 24 100 NE 6 6 2 1 SW36 965 E 9 7982 P 10/27-22 100 79 23 100 NE 7 1 810 E 10 7154 P 10/27-23 100 79 22 100 NE 7 1 656 NE 12 6326 P 10/28-00 100 89 22 100 NE 8 8 2 1 S46 501 NE 13 5498 P 10/28-01 100 89 21 100 NE 9 1 618 NE 14 8028 P 10/28-02 100 89 20 100 NE 10 1 734 NE 16 10558 P 10/28-03 100 89 20 100 NE 12 12 2 1 S44 851 NE 17 13088 P 10/28-04 100 89 19 100 NE 13 1 881 NE 18 14398 P 10/28-05 100 89 18 100 NE 14 1 911 NE 20 15709 P 10/28-06 100 84 18 100 N 14 22 2 1 S26 941 NE 21 17020 P 10/28-07 100 84 18 100 NE 10 1 1070 NE 21 19484 P 10/28-08 100 84 18 100 N 10 1 1199 NE 21 21949 P 10/28-09 100 84 18 100 N 10 10 2 1 SE26 1328 NE 21 24413 P 10/28-10 100 84 19 100 N 10 1 2078 NE 20 32858 P 10/28-11 100 84 21 100 N 10 1 2828 NE 17 41302 F 10/28-12 100 90 23 97 NW 10 10 2 1 S20 3578 NE 16 49746 F 10/28-13 100 90 23 95 N 10 1 3873 NE 14 44744 F 10/28-14 100 90 24 94 N 10 1 4167 N 12 39741 P 10/28-15 100 90 23 93 N 10 10 2 1 SW12 4462 N 9 34739 P 10/28-16 100 90 23 94 N 10 1 4608 N 12 45460 F 10/28-17 100 90 21 97 N 10 1 4754 N 14 56181 F 10/28-18 100 86 24 85 N 10 10 2 1 SW 9 4901 N 16 66903 G 10/28-19 100 86 23 90 N 10 1 4739 N 15 62455 G 10/28-20 100 86 22 92 N 10 1 4578 N 15 58007 F 10/28-21 100 86 21 93 N 10 10 2 1 W 5 4416 N 14 53560 F 10/28-22 100 86 20 94 N 8 1 4219 N 14 49178 F 10/28-23 100 86 20 93 N 8 1 4021 N 13 44797 F 10/29-00 100 81 20 94 N 8 8 2 1 S 2 3824 N 13 40416 F 10/29-01 100 81 19 93 N 8 1 3913 N 12 40695 F 10/29-02 100 81 19 93 N 8 1 4003 NW 12 40974 F 10/29-03 100 81 19 93 N 8 8 2 1 S 5 4092 NW 12 41253 F 10/29-04 100 81 19 92 N 7 1 4093 NW 13 43929 F 10/29-05 100 81 19 91 N 7 1 4093 NW 13 46605 F 10/29-06 97 61 18 91 N 7 7 2 1 SW 3 4094 NW 14 49281 F 10/29-07 97 61 18 90 N 7 1 4411 N 14 50945 F 10/29-08 97 61 20 85 N 7 1 4729 N 13 52609 F 10/29-09 97 61 21 78 N 7 7 2 1 NW 7 5046 N 13 54273 F 10/29-10 97 61 23 72 N 6 1 5489 N 14 67956 G 10/29-11 97 61 25 68 N 6 1 5932 N 16 81640 G 10/29-12 97 60 26 66 N 6 6 2 1 N13 6375 N 17 95324 G 10/29-13 97 60 26 65 N 6 1 6275 NW 17 93821 G 10/29-14 97 60 26 64 N 6 1 6175 NW 17 92317 G 10/29-15 97 60 27 64 NW 6 6 2 1 N23 6074 NW 17 90813 G 10/29-16 97 60 26 66 NW 5 1 5743 NW 18 91184 G 10/29-17 97 60 26 69 W 5 1 5412 NW 20 91554 G 10/29-18 70 30 25 76 W 5 5 2 1 N35 5081 NW 21 91925 G 10/29-19 70 30 23 85 W 7 1 4575 NW 23 89766 G 10/29-20 70 30 22 90 W 8 1 4069 NW 25 87608 G 10/29-21 70 30 21 88 W 9 9 2 1 N36 3563 NW 28 85449 G 10/29-22 70 30 21 89 W 12 1 3099 NW 28 75240 G 10/29-23 70 30 20 88 W 13 1 2634 NW 29 65031 G 10/30-00 70 20 20 86 W 14 14 2 1 N31 2169 NW 29 54821 F 10/30-01 70 20 20 85 W 15 1 1911 NW 26 45796 F 10/30-02 70 20 19 83 W 15 1 1652 W 25 36770 P 10/30-03 70 20 19 81 W 16 16 2 1 N31 1394 W 23 27745 P 10/30-04 70 20 19 78 W 16 1 1295 W 23 25885 P 10/30-05 70 20 19 77 W 16 1 1197 W 23 24025 P 10/30-06 49 20 18 77 W 17 26 3 1 N52 1099 W 23 22165 P 10/30-07 49 20 19 76 W 20 1 1132 W 23 22911 P 10/30-08 49 20 20 73 W 18 1 1165 W 23 23657 P 10/30-09 49 20 23 66 W 17 26 3 1 N69 1198 NW 23 24404 P 10/30-10 49 20 26 61 W 16 1 1201 NW 22 22984 P 10/30-11 49 20 28 58 W 14 1 1204 NW 21 21564 P 10/30-12 49 20 29 57 W 13 13 2 1 N64 1207 NW 20 20144 P 10/30-13 49 20 30 57 W 12 1 1168 NW 17 17747 P 10/30-14 49 20 30 58 W 10 1 1128 NW 15 15351 P 10/30-15 49 20 30 59 W 9 9 2 1 NW53 1089 NW 14 12954 P 10/30-16 49 20 30 61 W 9 1 949 NW 14 11172 P 10/30-17 49 20 30 63 W 8 1 809 NW 14 9389 P 10/30-18 43 5 29 66 W 8 8 2 1 N51 669 NW 13 7607 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...1592 STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091028.GOLDH.01/BOU