FNUS75 KBOU 280014 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 614 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO COLORADO. THE TROUGH PUSHES OVER THE BURN AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS... AND LIFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL TAPERING OFF THURSDAY DURING THE DAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-23. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 400-600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-29. MIN HUMIDITY........85-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 11-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-23. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 2200-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/27-18 100 67 32 92 E 5 5 2 1 S20 2377 E 9 19014 P 10/27-19 100 67 30 99 E 6 1 1797 E 9 14094 P 10/27-20 100 67 27 100 E 6 1 1218 E 8 9175 P 10/27-21 100 67 26 100 E 7 7 2 1 SW31 638 E 8 4255 P 10/27-22 100 67 25 100 E 8 1 582 E 9 4694 P 10/27-23 100 67 24 100 NE 10 1 527 NE 12 5132 P 10/28-00 100 89 23 100 NE 12 12 2 1 S44 471 NE 14 5571 P 10/28-01 100 89 23 100 NE 14 1 547 NE 16 7772 P 10/28-02 100 89 22 100 NE 15 1 622 NE 18 9973 P 10/28-03 100 89 21 100 NE 17 28 2 1 S40 698 NE 20 12174 P 10/28-04 100 89 21 100 NE 18 1 676 NE 22 12586 P 10/28-05 100 89 20 100 N 20 1 654 N 23 12998 P 10/28-06 100 83 20 88 N 21 33 2 1 S25 633 N 24 13410 P 10/28-07 100 83 19 85 N 16 1 680 N 24 14198 P 10/28-08 100 83 19 88 N 14 1 727 N 24 14986 P 10/28-09 100 83 20 100 N 12 12 2 1 SE23 774 N 23 15774 P 10/28-10 100 83 21 100 N 12 1 1491 N 23 30461 P 10/28-11 100 83 23 95 N 12 1 2208 N 23 45148 F 10/28-12 100 90 24 92 N 12 12 2 1 S22 2926 NE 23 59836 F 10/28-13 100 90 25 91 N 12 1 3250 N 22 60613 G 10/28-14 100 90 25 90 N 12 1 3575 N 20 61389 G 10/28-15 100 90 25 90 N 12 12 2 1 SW13 3900 N 18 62166 G 10/28-16 100 90 24 92 N 12 1 3964 N 20 67159 G 10/28-17 100 90 23 95 N 12 1 4029 N 21 72153 G 10/28-18 100 84 25 86 N 12 12 2 1 SW12 4093 N 22 77146 G 10/28-19 100 84 24 89 N 12 1 3732 N 22 70968 G 10/28-20 100 84 23 92 N 12 1 3370 N 22 64790 G 10/28-21 100 84 23 92 N 10 10 2 1 W 8 3009 N 22 58612 F 10/28-22 100 84 22 93 N 8 1 2757 N 21 50998 F 10/28-23 100 84 22 93 N 8 1 2505 N 20 43384 F 10/29-00 100 79 21 93 N 8 8 2 1 SW 2 2253 N 18 35770 P 10/29-01 100 79 21 92 N 8 1 2358 N 17 36080 P 10/29-02 100 79 21 92 N 8 1 2463 N 17 36390 P 10/29-03 100 79 21 91 N 7 7 2 1 CALM 2568 N 16 36700 P 10/29-04 100 79 20 91 N 7 1 2465 N 17 36256 P 10/29-05 100 79 20 90 N 7 1 2363 N 17 35812 P 10/29-06 98 61 20 90 N 7 7 2 1 NW 2 2260 N 18 35368 P 10/29-07 98 61 20 88 N 7 1 3081 N 17 44943 F 10/29-08 98 61 21 84 N 7 1 3903 N 16 54519 F 10/29-09 98 61 23 78 N 7 7 2 1 NW 9 4724 N 16 64095 G 10/29-10 98 61 25 72 N 6 1 5025 N 17 78044 G 10/29-11 98 61 26 68 N 6 1 5327 N 20 91994 G 10/29-12 98 60 27 66 N 6 6 2 1 N14 5628 N 22 105944 V 10/29-13 98 60 27 65 N 6 1 5520 N 21 97277 G 10/29-14 98 60 28 65 NW 6 1 5412 NW 18 88610 G 10/29-15 98 60 28 64 NW 5 5 2 1 NW22 5304 NW 17 79943 G 10/29-16 98 60 27 66 NW 5 1 5027 NW 17 74127 G 10/29-17 98 60 27 69 W 5 1 4749 NW 16 68312 G 10/29-18 70 30 26 76 W 5 5 2 1 N32 4471 NW 16 62496 G 10/29-19 70 30 24 86 W 6 1 3306 NW 16 46579 F 10/29-20 70 30 23 92 W 7 1 2141 W 17 30662 P 10/29-21 70 30 22 93 W 8 8 2 1 N36 976 W 17 14745 P 10/29-22 70 30 21 92 W 10 1 894 W 20 14984 P 10/29-23 70 30 21 89 W 12 1 812 W 22 15222 P 10/30-00 70 20 20 86 W 13 13 2 1 N33 731 W 24 15461 P 10/30-01 70 20 20 85 W 14 1 689 W 24 14343 P 10/30-02 70 20 20 84 W 14 1 647 W 23 13225 P 10/30-03 70 20 19 82 W 14 14 3 1 NW30 605 W 23 12107 P 10/30-04 70 20 19 81 W 15 1 544 W 22 10288 P 10/30-05 70 20 19 81 W 15 1 484 W 20 8468 P 10/30-06 47 20 19 81 W 15 15 3 1 N43 424 W 18 6649 P 10/30-07 47 20 19 81 W 18 1 546 W 18 9188 P 10/30-08 47 20 20 77 W 18 1 668 W 20 11726 P 10/30-09 47 20 23 71 W 17 26 3 1 N63 790 W 21 14265 P 10/30-10 47 20 25 65 W 16 1 811 W 20 14115 P 10/30-11 47 20 27 62 W 15 1 832 NW 20 13965 P 10/30-12 47 20 28 61 W 14 14 2 1 N61 853 NW 18 13815 P 10/30-13 47 20 29 61 W 13 1 808 NW 16 11725 P 10/30-14 47 20 29 61 W 12 1 763 NW 14 9635 P 10/30-15 47 20 30 62 W 10 10 2 1 NW49 718 NW 13 7545 P 10/30-16 47 20 29 64 W 9 1 598 W 10 5796 P 10/30-17 47 20 29 67 SW 8 1 478 W 9 4047 P 10/30-18 41 5 28 69 SW 8 8 2 1 N47 358 W 7 2298 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...1592 STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091028.HEILR.01/BOU