FNUS75 KBOU 280050 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 650 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO COLORADO. THE TROUGH PUSHES OVER THE BURN AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DEEP MOISTURE...UPSLOPE WINDS... AND LIFT FROM THE TROUGH WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL TAPERING OFF THURSDAY DURING THE DAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-24. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 800-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........85-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MOUNT FALCON SLASH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/27-18 98 40 38 67 NE 3 3 2 1 SW32 4215 E 8 29897 P 10/27-19 98 40 35 71 NE 3 1 3177 E 8 22209 P 10/27-20 98 40 32 74 N 3 1 2138 NE 8 14521 P 10/27-21 98 40 30 78 N 3 3 2 1 SW31 1100 NE 7 6833 P 10/27-22 98 40 28 84 N 3 1 915 NE 7 5739 P 10/27-23 98 40 27 89 NE 3 1 730 NE 7 4646 P 10/28-00 100 83 27 94 NE 3 3 2 1 S43 545 NE 8 3553 P 10/28-01 100 83 26 97 NE 5 1 560 NE 9 4445 P 10/28-02 100 83 25 98 N 6 1 575 NE 10 5338 P 10/28-03 100 83 24 98 N 7 7 2 1 S45 590 N 13 6230 P 10/28-04 100 83 24 96 N 8 1 730 N 15 9938 P 10/28-05 100 83 23 93 N 9 1 871 N 17 13645 P 10/28-06 100 80 23 90 N 10 10 2 1 S35 1011 N 20 17353 P 10/28-07 100 80 22 93 N 12 1 916 N 20 15594 P 10/28-08 100 80 21 98 N 10 1 820 N 20 13835 P 10/28-09 100 80 21 100 N 9 9 2 1 S29 725 N 20 12076 P 10/28-10 100 80 21 100 N 9 1 1202 N 18 19344 P 10/28-11 100 80 22 100 N 9 1 1678 N 18 26612 P 10/28-12 100 90 23 100 NW 9 9 2 1 S22 2155 N 18 33881 P 10/28-13 100 90 24 100 N 9 1 2472 N 17 36613 P 10/28-14 100 90 24 99 N 9 1 2789 N 16 39345 P 10/28-15 100 90 24 98 N 9 9 2 1 SW22 3106 N 16 42077 F 10/28-16 100 90 23 99 N 9 1 3686 N 15 45392 F 10/28-17 100 90 22 100 N 9 1 4266 N 14 48707 F 10/28-18 100 92 27 80 N 9 9 2 1 SW15 4847 N 13 52021 F 10/28-19 100 92 25 86 N 9 1 4344 N 14 51413 F 10/28-20 100 92 23 90 N 9 1 3842 N 16 50804 F 10/28-21 100 92 22 90 N 8 8 2 1 SW 7 3339 N 17 50195 F 10/28-22 100 92 22 91 N 8 1 3178 N 17 47956 F 10/28-23 100 92 21 91 N 8 1 3016 N 17 45717 F 10/29-00 100 82 20 91 N 8 8 2 1 SW 2 2855 N 17 43478 F 10/29-01 100 82 20 90 N 8 1 2783 N 17 42315 F 10/29-02 100 82 20 89 N 8 1 2712 N 17 41152 F 10/29-03 100 82 19 88 N 8 8 2 1 S 9 2640 N 17 39989 P 10/29-04 100 82 19 87 N 8 1 2512 N 17 37367 P 10/29-05 100 82 19 87 N 8 1 2384 N 17 34745 P 10/29-06 97 61 18 87 N 8 8 2 1 S10 2256 N 16 32123 P 10/29-07 97 61 19 85 N 8 1 3184 N 16 44059 F 10/29-08 97 61 20 81 N 7 1 4112 N 16 55995 F 10/29-09 97 61 22 73 N 7 7 2 1 W 3 5040 N 15 67931 G 10/29-10 97 61 25 66 N 7 1 5506 N 16 78286 G 10/29-11 97 61 26 62 N 7 1 5973 N 17 88642 G 10/29-12 97 60 27 60 N 7 7 2 1 NW 8 6440 N 17 98997 G 10/29-13 97 60 28 59 N 6 1 6310 N 17 95682 G 10/29-14 97 60 28 58 N 5 1 6180 NW 17 92367 G 10/29-15 97 60 29 58 NW 5 5 2 1 NW17 6050 NW 17 89052 G 10/29-16 97 60 28 60 W 3 1 5619 NW 17 84120 G 10/29-17 97 60 28 63 SW 2 1 5187 NW 17 79188 G 10/29-18 71 30 26 69 S 2 2 2 1 N29 4755 NW 18 74256 G 10/29-19 71 30 24 80 SW 3 1 3633 NW 18 57521 F 10/29-20 71 30 23 87 SW 5 1 2511 NW 20 40787 F 10/29-21 71 30 22 89 SW 7 7 2 1 N35 1388 W 20 24052 P 10/29-22 71 30 21 90 SW 8 1 1174 W 22 21646 P 10/29-23 71 30 21 88 W 9 1 959 W 24 19241 P 10/30-00 71 20 20 85 W 10 10 2 1 NW31 745 W 26 16836 P 10/30-01 71 20 20 84 W 12 1 715 W 26 16291 P 10/30-02 71 20 19 82 W 12 1 685 W 26 15747 P 10/30-03 71 20 19 81 W 12 12 2 1 NW28 655 W 26 15203 P 10/30-04 71 20 19 78 W 13 1 591 W 26 13513 P 10/30-05 71 20 18 77 W 13 1 526 W 25 11824 P 10/30-06 47 20 18 76 W 13 13 2 1 N46 462 W 25 10134 P 10/30-07 47 20 18 76 W 16 1 654 W 26 15545 P 10/30-08 47 20 21 70 W 15 1 845 NW 28 20955 P 10/30-09 47 20 24 61 W 13 13 4 1 N66 1036 NW 29 26365 P 10/30-10 47 20 28 54 W 10 1 1170 NW 26 25729 P 10/30-11 47 20 31 50 W 8 1 1303 NW 23 25094 P 10/30-12 47 20 33 48 W 7 7 2 1 N63 1436 NW 20 24459 P 10/30-13 47 20 34 47 W 7 1 1206 NW 18 19447 P 10/30-14 47 20 34 47 W 6 1 976 NW 16 14436 P 10/30-15 47 20 35 46 W 7 7 2 1 N59 745 NW 15 9425 P 10/30-16 47 20 34 47 W 7 1 591 W 14 7278 P 10/30-17 47 20 34 49 SW 7 1 437 W 13 5131 P 10/30-18 42 5 32 53 SW 8 8 2 1 N52 283 W 13 2984 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KEITH BOL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091028.MOUNT.01/BOU