FNUS73 KEAX 281333 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 833 AM CDT WED OCT 28 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL ALREADY BE GUSTY BY IGNITION TIME...AND GROUND CREWS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD. THE LOWER CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL HAVE BURNED OFF BY THE LATE MORNING...THOUGH A MORE SOLID SHIELD OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE SITE INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG AND GUSTY EVEN INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.NONE. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 19 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 22 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 27 TO 34 MPH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........51 56 62 65 69 72 75 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 59 62 63 62 61 60 RH..............71 64 58 54 54 58 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..18 20 22 23 24 23 21 20 FT WIND GUST.24 27 29 32 32 30 28 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 26 TO 32 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........55 62 71 78 83 88 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 57 55 54 53 52 RH..............65 72 76 79 83 90 20 FT WIND......SE 20 SE 17 SE 17 SE 20 SE 18 SE 18 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 30 25 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 17 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 33 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 17 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........92 96 99 100 95 90 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 53 57 61 63 60 RH..............96 95 87 79 73 80 20 FT WIND......SE 22 SE 24 SE 21 S 14 S 10 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...OMALLEY REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091028.UNIT4.01/EAX