FNUS75 KRIW 281331
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY MTN PILES RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
731 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW AND NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS TO THE BURN AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL
LIKELY LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY WITH UP TO A FOOT OF SNOWFALL. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT CONTINUING FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN ON THE HEELS OF THE
DEPARTING STORM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...T.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
                    SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 25.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 17 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 30 TO 35 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING PRECIPITATION...100 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (450000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-14.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING PRECIPITATION...100 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING PRECIPITATION...50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (37500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15-20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 23 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...T.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091028.MUDDY.01/RIW