FNUS75 KBOU 290032 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FRISCO WUI...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 633 PM MDT WED OCT 28 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE BURN AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THE BOTTOM OF THE TROUGH AN UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL TRACK FROM THE FOUR CORNERS NOW INTO SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO BY THURSDAY AT SUNSET. AFTER THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL COVER THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE DAY. THE STORM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO FORECAST AREA INTO THURSDAY EVENING ...BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-29. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-20. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-39. MIN HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FRISCO WUI. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/28-18 100 90 22 77 E 7 7 2 1 S23 4331 E 18 70237 G 10/28-19 100 90 20 83 E 7 1 3905 E 17 58176 F 10/28-20 100 90 18 87 NE 6 1 3478 E 15 46116 F 10/28-21 100 90 18 87 NE 6 6 2 1 S23 3052 E 13 34055 P 10/28-22 100 90 17 88 NE 5 1 3000 E 12 30026 P 10/28-23 100 90 16 89 NE 5 1 2947 E 10 25998 P 10/29-00 100 67 16 90 NE 3 3 2 1 S20 2895 E 9 21969 P 10/29-01 100 67 15 91 N 3 1 2805 E 8 19023 P 10/29-02 100 67 15 93 N 3 1 2716 NE 7 16077 P 10/29-03 100 67 14 95 N 3 3 2 1 S35 2626 N 6 13131 P 10/29-04 100 67 14 97 N 3 1 2796 N 7 17781 P 10/29-05 100 67 14 98 N 5 1 2965 N 8 22431 P 10/29-06 100 79 13 98 NE 5 5 2 1 S 7 3134 NE 10 27081 P 10/29-07 100 79 14 94 NE 5 1 3468 NE 9 28977 P 10/29-08 100 79 15 86 NE 5 1 3802 N 9 30874 P 10/29-09 100 79 17 75 NE 5 5 2 1 NE 7 4135 N 9 32770 P 10/29-10 100 79 20 65 NE 5 1 4324 N 9 36459 P 10/29-11 100 79 22 58 NE 5 1 4513 N 10 40148 F 10/29-12 100 64 23 55 NE 5 5 2 1 NE10 4702 N 10 43836 F 10/29-13 100 64 24 53 N 7 1 4760 N 13 53030 F 10/29-14 100 64 24 52 N 7 1 4818 N 15 62224 G 10/29-15 100 64 24 52 N 7 7 2 1 N 9 4877 NW 17 71419 G 10/29-16 100 64 24 54 N 7 1 4847 NW 18 78309 G 10/29-17 100 64 23 59 N 10 1 4817 NW 21 85200 G 10/29-18 91 62 21 67 NW 14 22 2 1 N26 4787 NW 22 92091 G 10/29-19 91 62 19 81 NW 14 1 4701 NW 22 91220 G 10/29-20 91 62 18 91 NW 15 1 4614 NW 23 90349 G 10/29-21 91 62 17 95 NW 15 24 2 1 N35 4528 NW 23 89478 G 10/29-22 91 62 16 96 NW 15 1 4410 NW 22 83072 G 10/29-23 91 62 15 92 NW 15 1 4291 NW 21 76667 G 10/30-00 82 53 15 89 NW 14 22 2 1 N31 4173 NW 20 70261 G 10/30-01 82 53 14 87 W 13 1 3975 NW 21 69819 G 10/30-02 82 53 14 84 W 12 1 3776 NW 21 69376 G 10/30-03 82 53 14 81 W 10 10 2 1 N33 3578 NW 22 68934 G 10/30-04 82 53 13 77 W 9 1 3353 NW 23 67970 G 10/30-05 82 53 13 75 W 9 1 3129 NW 25 67005 G 10/30-06 87 40 13 74 W 9 9 2 1 N61 2905 NW 26 66041 G 10/30-07 87 40 13 74 W 10 1 3018 NW 26 67979 G 10/30-08 87 40 16 67 W 12 1 3131 NW 25 69917 G 10/30-09 87 40 21 57 W 13 13 2 1 N76 3244 NW 25 71855 G 10/30-10 87 40 26 48 W 14 1 3392 NW 25 73488 G 10/30-11 87 40 30 44 W 14 1 3539 NW 24 75120 G 10/30-12 87 40 32 41 W 14 22 2 1 N82 3686 NW 24 76753 G 10/30-13 87 40 33 41 NW 14 1 3630 NW 23 72974 G 10/30-14 87 40 34 41 NW 14 1 3573 NW 22 69196 G 10/30-15 87 40 35 40 NW 14 22 2 1 N66 3517 NW 22 65417 G 10/30-16 87 40 34 41 NW 13 1 3253 NW 22 60688 G 10/30-17 87 40 33 43 NW 10 1 2990 NW 22 55960 F 10/30-18 70 28 32 46 NW 9 9 2 1 N63 2726 NW 22 51232 F 10/30-19 70 28 29 51 W 8 1 2274 NW 18 38938 P 10/30-20 70 28 28 55 W 7 1 1823 NW 15 26644 P 10/30-21 70 28 27 57 W 6 6 2 1 N54 1371 NW 12 14350 P 10/30-22 70 28 26 59 W 6 1 1327 NW 12 13087 P 10/30-23 70 28 25 60 W 6 1 1283 NW 10 11823 P 10/31-00 70 28 25 62 W 6 6 2 1 NW37 1238 NW 10 10559 P 10/31-01 70 28 24 63 W 5 1 1201 NW 9 9356 P 10/31-02 70 28 24 64 W 5 1 1165 NW 8 8153 P 10/31-03 70 28 23 65 W 3 3 2 1 N31 1128 NW 7 6949 P 10/31-04 70 28 23 66 W 2 1 959 W 7 5642 P 10/31-05 70 28 23 67 SW 2 1 791 W 6 4335 P 10/31-06 65 10 22 69 SW 2 2 2 1 N29 622 W 6 3027 P 10/31-07 65 10 22 69 SW 2 1 799 W 7 5026 P 10/31-08 65 10 25 61 SW 2 1 975 W 8 7024 P 10/31-09 65 10 30 52 W 3 3 2 1 NW28 1152 W 9 9023 P 10/31-10 65 10 35 43 W 6 1 1678 W 13 21030 P 10/31-11 65 10 39 37 W 7 1 2204 W 16 33038 P 10/31-12 65 10 41 35 W 9 9 3 1 NW25 2730 W 20 45046 F 10/31-13 65 10 42 34 W 10 1 2800 W 20 46720 F 10/31-14 65 10 43 33 W 10 1 2870 NW 20 48394 F 10/31-15 65 10 44 32 W 10 10 4 1 NW28 2940 NW 20 50068 F 10/31-16 65 10 43 33 W 9 1 2661 NW 18 43367 F 10/31-17 65 10 41 35 W 8 1 2381 NW 17 36666 P 10/31-18 52 10 39 39 W 7 7 3 1 NW32 2102 NW 16 29964 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TODD KING REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091029.FRISC.01/BOU