FNUS75 KBOU 291350 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GORE LAKES RX PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 750 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW OVER THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH TODAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE TO WESTERN KANSAS BY TONIGHT WITH DRIER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MOVING INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO. SNOW ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN DIMINISHING. AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY...LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WILL CONTINUE FEEDING MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....18-24. MIN HUMIDITY........82-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-16. MAX HUMIDITY........94-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 2200-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-30. MIN HUMIDITY........60-68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GORE LAKES RX PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-07 94 70 14 100 N 7 1 2475 NE 16 34374 P 10/29-08 94 70 15 100 N 7 1 2946 NE 15 37389 P 10/29-09 94 70 16 98 N 7 7 2 1 SE 2 3417 N 14 40404 F 10/29-10 94 70 18 94 N 7 1 3804 N 14 46885 F 10/29-11 94 70 19 92 N 7 1 4192 N 15 53366 F 10/29-12 96 57 19 91 N 7 7 2 1 NE 6 4580 N 15 59847 F 10/29-13 96 57 20 88 N 8 1 4565 N 16 62336 G 10/29-14 96 57 20 86 N 8 1 4551 N 16 64825 G 10/29-15 96 57 20 84 N 8 8 2 1 N10 4536 N 17 67314 G 10/29-16 96 57 20 84 N 8 1 4542 N 18 72654 G 10/29-17 96 57 19 87 N 10 1 4549 NW 20 77994 G 10/29-18 81 46 19 93 NW 12 12 2 1 N24 4556 NW 21 83334 G 10/29-19 81 46 17 100 NW 12 1 4370 NW 21 78864 G 10/29-20 81 46 17 100 NW 12 1 4184 NW 21 74393 G 10/29-21 81 46 16 100 NW 10 10 2 1 N29 3998 NW 20 69923 G 10/29-22 81 46 16 100 W 9 1 3716 NW 20 62825 G 10/29-23 81 46 15 98 W 7 1 3434 NW 18 55726 F 10/30-00 85 37 15 97 W 6 6 2 1 N29 3152 NW 17 48628 F 10/30-01 85 37 15 97 W 6 1 2917 NW 18 45663 F 10/30-02 85 37 15 97 W 6 1 2681 W 18 42698 F 10/30-03 85 37 14 93 SW 6 6 2 1 N45 2446 W 18 39733 P 10/30-04 85 37 14 90 W 6 1 2282 W 20 37807 P 10/30-05 85 37 14 88 W 7 1 2119 W 20 35882 P 10/30-06 85 60 14 88 SW 3 3 2 1 N64 2813 W 18 45863 F 10/30-07 85 60 14 90 W 5 1 3172 W 21 56952 F 10/30-08 85 60 16 86 W 7 1 3531 W 22 68041 G 10/30-09 85 60 20 80 W 8 8 2 1 N79 3890 NW 23 79131 G 10/30-10 85 60 23 74 W 10 1 3977 NW 23 79542 G 10/30-11 85 60 26 70 W 12 1 4063 NW 23 79954 G 10/30-12 85 60 27 68 W 13 13 2 1 N85 4150 NW 22 80365 G 10/30-13 85 60 28 67 W 13 1 3923 NW 22 73848 G 10/30-14 85 60 28 65 W 13 1 3696 NW 21 67330 G 10/30-15 85 60 29 62 W 13 13 2 1 N76 3469 NW 21 60813 G 10/30-16 85 60 29 62 W 13 1 3143 NW 20 53483 F 10/30-17 85 60 28 62 W 12 1 2817 NW 18 46153 F 10/30-18 85 27 28 62 W 10 10 2 1 N52 2490 NW 18 38823 P 10/30-19 85 27 26 66 W 9 1 2302 NW 17 34564 P 10/30-20 85 27 25 69 W 7 1 2115 W 16 30304 P 10/30-21 85 27 25 71 W 6 6 2 1 N47 1927 W 16 26045 P 10/30-22 85 27 24 74 SW 5 1 1849 W 14 22763 P 10/30-23 85 27 24 75 SW 5 1 1771 W 13 19481 P 10/31-00 66 27 24 77 SW 5 5 2 1 N36 1693 W 12 16199 P 10/31-01 66 27 23 77 SW 5 1 1665 W 9 14083 P 10/31-02 66 27 23 77 S 5 1 1637 W 8 11967 P 10/31-03 66 27 23 77 S 5 5 2 1 N35 1610 W 7 9851 P 10/31-04 66 27 23 77 S 5 1 1492 W 7 8717 P 10/31-05 66 27 23 77 S 3 1 1375 SW 6 7582 P 10/31-06 65 10 22 78 S 3 3 2 1 NW37 1258 SW 6 6447 P 10/31-07 65 10 23 79 S 3 1 1406 SW 7 8014 P 10/31-08 65 10 25 72 S 3 1 1554 SW 7 9580 P 10/31-09 65 10 29 64 S 3 3 2 1 N28 1702 W 8 11146 P 10/31-10 65 10 33 56 S 3 1 1875 W 8 14066 P 10/31-11 65 10 36 51 SW 5 1 2048 W 9 16987 P 10/31-12 65 10 37 49 SW 5 5 3 1 NW21 2221 W 10 19907 P 10/31-13 65 10 38 47 SW 5 1 2127 W 10 18737 P 10/31-14 65 10 39 47 SW 5 1 2032 W 10 17566 P 10/31-15 65 10 39 46 SW 5 5 4 1 W24 1938 W 9 16395 P 10/31-16 65 10 39 47 SW 3 1 1548 W 9 12399 P 10/31-17 65 10 38 50 S 3 1 1158 SW 8 8404 P 10/31-18 46 10 36 54 S 2 2 3 1 W35 768 SW 7 4408 P 10/31-19 46 10 33 61 SW 2 1 611 SW 6 3381 P 10/31-20 46 10 30 67 W 2 1 455 SW 6 2354 P 10/31-21 46 10 29 70 W 2 2 3 1 W43 298 SW 5 1327 P 10/31-22 46 10 28 74 W 2 1 329 SW 6 1585 P 10/31-23 46 10 28 75 W 2 1 360 SW 6 1842 P 11/01-00 46 10 27 77 W 2 2 3 1 W46 390 W 6 2099 P 11/01-01 46 10 26 78 W 2 1 420 W 6 2140 P 11/01-02 46 10 26 78 CALM 1 449 SW 6 2181 P 11/01-03 46 10 25 78 CALM 1 2 1 W54 478 SW 6 2222 P 11/01-04 46 10 25 77 CALM 1 504 SW 5 2183 P 11/01-05 46 10 24 77 SE 2 1 529 SW 5 2143 P 11/01-06 64 10 24 78 SE 2 2 2 1 W45 555 SW 5 2104 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091029.GOREL.01/BOU