FNUS75 KBOU 290047 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 648 PM MDT WED OCT 28 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE BURN AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THE BOTTOM OF THE TROUGH AN UPPER CLOSED LOW WILL TRACK FROM THE FOUR CORNERS NOW INTO SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO BY THURSDAY AT SUNSET. AFTER THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL COVER THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE DAY. THE STORM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO FORECAST AREA INTO THURSDAY EVENING ...BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-18. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-26. MIN HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 20-30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-38. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 24-36 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 20-26 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/28-18 100 99 23 87 NE 12 12 2 1 S29 4676 E 16 65790 G 10/28-19 100 99 21 91 NE 10 1 4427 E 16 60877 G 10/28-20 100 99 20 94 NE 10 1 4179 NE 15 55963 F 10/28-21 100 99 20 95 NE 9 9 2 1 S30 3931 NE 15 51050 F 10/28-22 100 99 19 96 NE 8 1 3741 NE 13 42959 F 10/28-23 100 99 19 96 N 8 1 3552 NE 12 34869 P 10/29-00 100 100 18 96 N 7 7 2 1 S33 3363 NE 9 26778 P 10/29-01 100 100 18 95 N 6 1 3456 NE 9 29447 P 10/29-02 100 100 18 94 N 6 1 3549 NE 10 32117 P 10/29-03 100 100 17 93 N 5 5 2 1 S28 3642 NE 12 34786 P 10/29-04 100 100 17 91 N 5 1 3600 N 12 35097 P 10/29-05 100 100 17 89 N 3 1 3558 N 12 35407 P 10/29-06 100 78 17 88 N 6 6 2 1 SW 5 3516 N 12 35718 P 10/29-07 100 78 17 86 N 6 1 3788 N 12 37683 P 10/29-08 100 78 18 82 N 6 1 4061 N 12 39648 P 10/29-09 100 78 19 76 N 6 6 2 1 NE 9 4333 N 12 41613 F 10/29-10 100 78 21 71 N 6 1 4505 N 12 45373 F 10/29-11 100 78 22 68 N 6 1 4677 N 12 49132 F 10/29-12 99 66 23 66 N 6 6 2 1 NE 9 4848 N 13 52891 F 10/29-13 99 66 23 65 N 6 1 4917 NW 14 60122 G 10/29-14 99 66 23 64 N 6 1 4985 NW 15 67352 G 10/29-15 99 66 24 64 N 6 6 2 1 N12 5054 NW 17 74583 G 10/29-16 99 66 23 66 N 6 1 5038 NW 18 78279 G 10/29-17 99 66 23 70 N 7 1 5023 NW 18 81976 G 10/29-18 84 40 22 77 NW 7 7 2 1 N26 5008 NW 20 85672 G 10/29-19 84 40 21 89 NW 9 1 4606 NW 21 80524 G 10/29-20 84 40 20 97 NW 10 1 4204 NW 21 75376 G 10/29-21 84 40 19 97 W 13 13 2 1 N36 3803 NW 21 70228 G 10/29-22 84 40 19 97 W 15 1 3513 NW 21 63389 G 10/29-23 84 40 18 93 W 18 1 3223 NW 20 56551 F 10/30-00 67 17 18 89 W 21 33 2 1 N30 2933 NW 20 49713 F 10/30-01 67 17 18 86 W 22 1 2641 NW 21 46914 F 10/30-02 67 17 18 83 W 23 1 2349 W 22 44116 F 10/30-03 67 17 17 80 W 24 39 2 1 NW29 2057 W 23 41317 F 10/30-04 67 17 17 77 W 26 1 2007 W 26 46003 F 10/30-05 67 17 17 75 W 29 1 1956 W 30 50689 F 10/30-06 76 10 17 75 W 30 48 3 1 N43 1906 W 33 55376 F 10/30-07 76 10 17 77 W 31 1 1894 W 31 50321 F 10/30-08 76 10 19 72 W 31 1 1882 NW 28 45267 F 10/30-09 76 10 23 66 W 31 49 2 1 N63 1870 NW 25 40212 F 10/30-10 76 10 26 61 W 31 1 1960 NW 25 42470 F 10/30-11 76 10 29 58 W 30 1 2051 NW 25 44728 F 10/30-12 76 10 30 57 W 29 46 2 1 N74 2141 NW 25 46985 F 10/30-13 76 10 31 56 W 28 1 2032 NW 24 42937 F 10/30-14 76 10 32 55 W 25 1 1922 NW 23 38889 P 10/30-15 76 10 32 54 W 24 39 2 1 N58 1813 NW 22 34840 P 10/30-16 76 10 32 54 W 23 1 1619 NW 23 31552 P 10/30-17 76 10 31 55 W 22 1 1426 NW 23 28265 P 10/30-18 54 9 30 57 W 21 33 2 1 N62 1232 NW 23 24977 P 10/30-19 54 9 28 61 W 21 1 1051 NW 23 20932 P 10/30-20 54 9 27 64 W 21 1 869 NW 22 16888 P 10/30-21 54 9 26 65 W 21 33 2 1 N59 688 NW 22 12844 P 10/30-22 54 9 25 66 W 21 1 623 NW 20 11043 P 10/30-23 54 9 25 67 W 21 1 558 W 18 9242 P 10/31-00 54 9 25 68 W 21 33 2 1 NW46 494 W 17 7441 P 10/31-01 54 9 24 69 W 21 1 444 W 18 6886 P 10/31-02 54 9 24 70 W 22 1 394 W 18 6332 P 10/31-03 54 9 24 72 W 22 35 2 1 N37 345 W 20 5777 P 10/31-04 54 9 23 73 W 21 1 288 W 20 4834 P 10/31-05 54 9 23 74 W 21 1 231 W 20 3891 P 10/31-06 47 9 23 76 W 20 31 2 1 N28 175 W 20 2948 P 10/31-07 47 9 23 75 W 20 1 317 W 21 5878 P 10/31-08 47 9 26 67 W 21 1 458 W 22 8809 P 10/31-09 47 9 30 56 W 21 33 3 1 NW23 600 W 23 11740 P 10/31-10 47 9 34 47 W 21 1 868 W 25 20114 P 10/31-11 47 9 38 41 W 21 1 1137 W 28 28488 P 10/31-12 47 9 40 38 W 21 33 3 1 NW20 1405 W 30 36862 P 10/31-13 47 9 41 37 W 21 1 1417 W 29 35263 P 10/31-14 47 9 41 37 W 20 1 1429 W 28 33664 P 10/31-15 47 9 42 37 W 20 31 4 1 NW26 1441 NW 25 32065 P 10/31-16 47 9 41 39 W 23 1 1245 NW 24 26756 P 10/31-17 47 9 40 42 W 24 1 1049 W 23 21447 P 10/31-18 49 3 38 46 W 18 30 3 1 NW32 853 W 22 16138 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TIM EGAN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091029.SUGAR.01/BOU