FNUS75 KBOU 291609 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1009 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COLORADO WILL BE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TO WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. FLOW ALOFT OVER THE MOUNTAINS IS WEAK AND NORTHERLY THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BECOME MODERATE AND NORTHWESTERLY BY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND IN MIDDLE PARK WILL FEED OROGRAPHIC SHOWER ACTIVITY THAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STRONG AND BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....12-18. MIN HUMIDITY........74-82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....8-14. MAX HUMIDITY........94-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-28. MIN HUMIDITY........54-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-09 100 81 14 89 N 5 5 2 1 E12 3426 N 7 20516 P 10/29-10 100 81 15 84 N 5 1 3666 N 8 26787 P 10/29-11 100 81 15 80 N 5 1 3907 N 9 33058 P 10/29-12 100 64 16 78 N 5 5 2 1 E10 4147 N 10 39329 P 10/29-13 100 64 16 77 N 7 1 4263 NW 13 48480 F 10/29-14 100 64 16 76 N 7 1 4378 NW 15 57631 F 10/29-15 100 64 16 76 N 7 7 2 1 N 5 4494 NW 17 66781 G 10/29-16 100 64 16 79 N 7 1 4554 NW 20 75623 G 10/29-17 100 64 16 84 N 10 1 4614 NW 21 84464 G 10/29-18 91 63 15 91 NW 13 13 2 1 N25 4673 NW 23 93305 G 10/29-19 91 63 14 100 NW 14 1 4423 NW 24 91043 G 10/29-20 91 63 14 100 NW 14 1 4173 NW 24 88781 G 10/29-21 91 63 13 100 NW 15 24 2 1 N33 3923 NW 25 86519 G 10/29-22 91 63 13 100 W 16 1 3924 NW 24 83898 G 10/29-23 91 63 13 100 W 16 1 3925 NW 24 81277 G 10/30-00 83 54 13 100 W 16 25 2 1 N32 3926 NW 23 78656 G 10/30-01 83 54 13 100 W 15 1 3770 NW 24 78824 G 10/30-02 83 54 12 96 W 14 1 3613 NW 25 78992 G 10/30-03 83 54 12 90 W 14 22 2 1 N32 3456 W 26 79161 G 10/30-04 83 54 12 85 W 15 1 3266 W 29 80925 G 10/30-05 83 54 12 80 W 16 1 3075 W 31 82689 G 10/30-06 88 60 12 78 W 13 13 2 1 N53 2866 W 25 64078 G 10/30-07 88 60 12 79 W 15 1 3057 W 28 72543 G 10/30-08 88 60 15 73 W 16 1 3249 NW 29 81008 G 10/30-09 88 60 18 67 W 17 28 3 1 N81 3440 NW 30 89473 G 10/30-10 88 60 21 61 W 18 1 3528 NW 29 89341 G 10/30-11 88 60 24 58 W 18 1 3615 NW 29 89209 G 10/30-12 89 60 25 57 W 18 30 2 1 N85 3703 NW 28 89078 G 10/30-13 89 60 26 57 W 20 1 3471 NW 28 83906 G 10/30-14 89 60 26 57 W 20 1 3238 NW 28 78734 G 10/30-15 89 60 27 56 W 20 31 2 1 N76 3006 NW 28 73562 G 10/30-16 89 60 27 57 W 18 1 2743 NW 28 65698 G 10/30-17 89 60 26 59 W 17 1 2479 NW 26 57833 F 10/30-18 89 29 26 60 W 15 24 2 1 N60 2216 NW 26 49968 F 10/30-19 89 29 24 64 W 14 1 2045 NW 23 42206 F 10/30-20 89 29 23 66 W 12 1 1875 W 21 34444 P 10/30-21 89 29 23 66 W 10 10 2 1 N48 1704 W 18 26681 P 10/30-22 89 29 23 67 W 9 1 1559 W 16 22429 P 10/30-23 89 29 22 68 W 8 1 1415 W 15 18177 P 10/31-00 70 29 22 68 W 8 8 2 1 N40 1270 W 13 13924 P 10/31-01 70 29 22 68 W 8 1 1187 W 13 12812 P 10/31-02 70 29 21 69 W 7 1 1103 W 13 11699 P 10/31-03 70 29 21 69 W 7 7 2 1 NW37 1019 W 12 10586 P 10/31-04 70 29 21 70 W 7 1 929 W 12 9610 P 10/31-05 70 29 21 70 SW 6 1 839 W 12 8634 P 10/31-06 65 10 21 71 SW 6 6 2 1 NW38 749 W 12 7658 P 10/31-07 65 10 21 72 W 6 1 857 W 13 9394 P 10/31-08 65 10 23 65 W 6 1 965 W 13 11130 P 10/31-09 65 10 27 57 W 7 7 2 1 N31 1073 W 14 12866 P 10/31-10 65 10 30 50 W 8 1 1277 W 16 18643 P 10/31-11 65 10 33 46 W 10 1 1481 W 18 24421 P 10/31-12 65 10 35 44 W 12 12 3 1 NW20 1684 W 21 30199 P 10/31-13 65 10 36 43 W 13 1 1626 W 21 28831 P 10/31-14 65 10 36 43 W 13 1 1567 W 21 27464 P 10/31-15 65 10 36 42 W 13 13 3 1 W20 1509 W 20 26096 P 10/31-16 65 10 36 44 W 12 1 1305 W 18 21081 P 10/31-17 65 10 35 46 W 9 1 1101 W 16 16065 P 10/31-18 51 10 33 50 W 7 7 4 1 W29 898 W 14 11050 P 10/31-19 51 10 31 55 W 6 1 676 W 12 7864 P 10/31-20 51 10 29 60 SW 5 1 454 W 9 4679 P 10/31-21 51 10 28 62 SW 5 5 4 1 W39 232 W 7 1494 P 10/31-22 51 10 27 64 SW 5 1 233 W 8 1715 P 10/31-23 51 10 26 65 W 6 1 233 W 9 1937 P 11/01-00 51 10 26 67 W 7 7 4 1 W46 234 W 10 2159 P 11/01-01 51 10 25 67 W 8 1 267 W 12 2657 P 11/01-02 51 10 25 67 W 8 1 299 W 12 3155 P 11/01-03 51 10 24 67 W 8 8 3 1 W51 331 W 13 3653 P 11/01-04 51 10 24 67 W 8 1 345 W 13 3666 P 11/01-05 51 10 24 67 W 7 1 358 W 12 3679 P 11/01-06 71 10 23 68 W 7 7 3 1 W51 371 W 12 3692 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINTIER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091029.VASQU.01/BOU