FNUS75 KGJT 291443
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST FORK WRF PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
843 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ALONG THE COLORADO/NEW MEXICO
BORDER INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY. AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE
NORTHERLY IT FLOW WILL TEND TO FUNNEL UP THE EAGLE VALLEY ABOVE
MINTURN BRINING WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH TODAY. AS THE LOW
MOVES EAST TONIGHT THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST. ON FRIDAY
A WAVE EMBEDDED IN THIS FLOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE
BURN. HOWEVER WARMING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN A STRONGLY CAPPED
AIR MASS AND WILL LIMIT MIXING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....13-18 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 0-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER 1700.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....0-5 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 8-12 MPH DECREASING TO 0-5
                    MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...LOWERING TO 1000 FEET BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...NICK COLLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091029.EASTF.02/GJT