FNUS75 KGJT 291411
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST VAIL...USFS, WRNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
811 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ALONG THE COLORADO/NEW MEXICO
BORDER INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
WRAP AROUND THE LOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN. AGAIN THIS NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL NOT
BE PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR SNOW AT THE BURN SITE...SO ANY THAT
DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST TONIGHT A
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. ON FRIDAY A WAVE EMBEDDED
IN THIS FLOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE VAIL AREA. HOWEVER
WARMING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN A STRONGLY CAPPED AIR MASS AND WILL
LIMIT MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 0-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER 1500.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL
                    1100...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (INCREASING TO 32000 KNOT-FT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON)...BETTER MIXING NEAR SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...TODD KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091029.EASTV.01/GJT