FNUS75 KBOU 301438 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MTN PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 835 AM MDT FRI OCT 30 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NW MOUNTAIN TOP FLOW WITH A LOT OF MOISTURE. ESTES PARK WEB CAM SHOWS SNOW SHOWERS SPILLING OVER THE DIVIDE BUT DO NOT EXPECT MUCH AT YOUR SITE. RAWS STATION GUSTING OVER 30 MPH AND EXPECT GUSTY WINDS ALL DAY PRETTY MUCH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 13-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MTN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/30-08 91 10 14 82 W 14 1 1593 W 29 40298 F 10/30-09 91 10 19 83 W 14 23 2 1 N73 1657 W 30 42473 F 10/30-10 91 10 24 74 W 14 1 1773 NW 31 49170 F 10/30-11 91 10 27 69 W 14 1 1889 NW 33 55867 F 10/30-12 71 15 29 66 W 14 23 2 1 N73 2004 NW 36 62563 G 10/30-13 71 15 31 63 W 14 1 2051 NW 36 64524 G 10/30-14 71 15 31 60 W 13 1 2097 NW 37 66486 G 10/30-15 71 15 32 57 W 12 12 2 1 N64 2143 NW 37 68447 G 10/30-16 71 15 32 55 W 12 1 1906 NW 36 60114 G 10/30-17 71 15 31 53 W 13 1 1669 NW 36 51780 F 10/30-18 68 4 31 48 W 13 22 2 1 N59 1432 NW 35 43447 F 10/30-19 68 4 29 50 W 13 1 1199 NW 30 31437 P 10/30-20 68 4 28 51 W 13 1 1085 W 26 25820 P 10/30-21 68 4 28 51 W 13 22 2 1 N46 970 W 24 20202 P 10/30-22 68 4 27 52 W 12 1 880 W 22 16824 P 10/30-23 68 4 27 52 W 12 1 790 W 20 13446 P 10/31-00 70 4 26 53 W 12 12 2 1 N26 700 W 16 10068 P 10/31-01 70 4 26 53 W 10 1 669 W 16 9463 P 10/31-02 70 4 26 54 W 10 1 639 W 16 8858 P 10/31-03 70 4 26 55 W 9 9 2 1 NW29 609 W 16 8253 P 10/31-04 70 4 25 56 W 9 1 587 W 16 8452 P 10/31-05 70 4 25 56 W 9 1 565 W 17 8651 P 10/31-06 69 10 25 57 W 15 24 2 1 NW38 539 W 17 7928 P 10/31-07 69 10 25 57 W 15 1 664 W 17 9787 P 10/31-08 69 10 27 54 W 15 1 790 W 17 11646 P 10/31-09 69 10 29 49 W 15 24 2 1 NW45 916 W 17 13505 P 10/31-10 69 10 32 49 W 15 1 983 W 17 14666 P 10/31-11 69 10 34 51 W 14 1 1051 W 17 15828 P 10/31-12 28 0 35 56 W 14 22 4 1 NW43 1118 W 17 16989 P 10/31-13 28 0 36 56 W 14 1 1106 W 20 18228 P 10/31-14 28 0 36 56 W 15 1 1094 W 21 19467 P 10/31-15 28 0 36 55 W 15 24 4 1 NW41 1082 W 22 20706 P 10/31-16 28 0 36 56 W 15 1 1013 W 23 20117 P 10/31-17 28 0 35 57 W 16 1 945 W 24 19527 P 10/31-18 22 0 34 58 W 16 25 4 1 NW46 876 W 25 18938 P 10/31-19 22 0 32 59 W 16 1 729 W 23 14991 P 10/31-20 22 0 31 59 W 15 1 581 W 21 11044 P 10/31-21 22 0 31 57 W 15 24 4 1 W45 434 W 18 7097 P 10/31-22 22 0 30 55 W 15 1 371 W 17 5822 P 10/31-23 22 0 30 53 W 14 1 308 W 16 4547 P 11/01-00 27 0 29 52 W 14 22 4 1 W41 245 W 15 3272 P 11/01-01 27 0 29 52 W 14 1 238 W 15 3203 P 11/01-02 27 0 28 51 W 14 1 230 W 16 3134 P 11/01-03 27 0 28 51 W 14 22 2 1 W40 222 W 16 3064 P 11/01-04 27 0 28 50 W 14 1 214 W 15 2866 P 11/01-05 27 0 28 50 W 13 1 206 W 15 2667 P 11/01-06 33 0 27 50 W 13 13 2 1 W39 197 W 15 2468 P 11/01-07 33 0 28 51 W 13 1 278 W 15 3586 P 11/01-08 33 0 29 48 W 12 1 359 W 15 4704 P 11/01-09 33 0 32 44 W 12 12 2 1 W43 439 W 15 5821 P 11/01-10 33 0 35 40 W 12 1 922 W 18 17379 P 11/01-11 33 0 37 38 W 12 1 1404 W 22 28937 P 11/01-12 42 0 39 37 W 12 12 2 1 W43 1887 W 24 40495 F 11/01-13 42 0 39 37 W 12 1 2119 W 28 51891 F 11/01-14 42 0 40 38 W 12 1 2352 W 30 63288 G 11/01-15 42 0 40 38 W 12 12 3 1 W47 2585 W 33 74684 G 11/01-16 42 0 40 41 W 13 1 2324 W 33 67785 G 11/01-17 42 0 38 45 W 13 1 2063 W 35 60885 G 11/01-18 39 3 36 50 W 14 22 4 1 W51 1802 W 35 53986 F 11/01-19 39 3 34 55 W 15 1 1471 W 32 42541 F 11/01-20 39 3 32 59 W 15 1 1140 W 30 31096 P 11/01-21 39 3 31 61 W 15 24 4 1 W49 809 W 28 19651 P 11/01-22 39 3 30 63 W 15 1 715 W 26 16431 P 11/01-23 39 3 29 65 W 15 1 622 W 24 13211 P 11/02-00 50 3 29 66 W 14 22 4 1 W47 528 W 22 9992 P 11/02-01 50 3 28 67 W 13 1 487 W 20 8325 P 11/02-02 50 3 28 68 W 13 1 445 W 17 6658 P 11/02-03 50 3 27 69 W 12 12 4 1 W44 404 W 14 4991 P 11/02-04 50 3 27 68 W 10 1 378 W 13 4252 P 11/02-05 50 3 26 67 W 10 1 352 W 12 3513 P 11/02-06 50 0 26 67 W 8 8 3 1 W43 325 W 10 2774 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091030.DEERM.01/BOU