FNUS75 KBOU 292225 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 418 PM MDT THU OCT 29 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRIER WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THE MIXING HEIGHT HOWEVER WILL BE REDUCED AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. SORRY I ADDRESSED THE WRONG TIME FRAME IN THE FIRST SPOT I POSTED. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-34. MIN HUMIDITY........50-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. WEST 23-33 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-22. MAX HUMIDITY........76-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. WEST 20-28 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39. MIN HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 15-25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/29-16 99 68 22 71 N 8 1 5097 N 17 75381 G 10/29-17 99 68 21 75 N 8 1 5071 N 17 75473 G 10/29-18 88 40 21 82 N 8 8 2 1 N29 5045 NW 17 75566 G 10/29-19 88 40 20 92 N 8 1 4863 NW 18 76159 G 10/29-20 88 40 19 100 N 8 1 4681 NW 18 76752 G 10/29-21 88 40 19 100 N 8 8 2 1 N30 4500 NW 20 77346 G 10/29-22 88 40 18 99 N 8 1 4079 NW 21 71599 G 10/29-23 88 40 18 95 N 8 1 3658 NW 21 65852 G 10/30-00 67 17 18 90 NW 13 13 2 1 N36 3238 NW 22 60105 G 10/30-01 67 17 18 87 NW 16 1 2992 NW 22 55784 F 10/30-02 67 17 17 84 W 21 1 2747 NW 22 51463 F 10/30-03 67 17 17 81 W 24 39 2 1 N36 2502 NW 22 47143 F 10/30-04 67 17 17 78 W 24 1 2378 NW 24 49103 F 10/30-05 67 17 17 76 W 23 1 2255 W 26 51064 F 10/30-06 76 10 17 75 W 23 37 2 1 N61 2131 W 29 53025 F 10/30-07 76 10 17 77 W 24 1 2151 NW 29 53003 F 10/30-08 76 10 19 72 W 26 1 2170 NW 28 52981 F 10/30-09 76 10 23 66 W 28 44 2 1 N81 2189 NW 28 52958 F 10/30-10 76 10 26 61 W 29 1 2220 NW 29 56484 F 10/30-11 76 10 29 58 W 30 1 2252 NW 31 60009 G 10/30-12 76 10 30 57 W 30 48 2 1 N79 2284 NW 32 63534 G 10/30-13 76 10 31 56 W 30 1 2019 NW 33 58416 F 10/30-14 76 10 32 55 W 29 1 1755 NW 36 53299 F 10/30-15 76 10 32 54 W 28 44 2 1 N66 1491 NW 37 48181 F 10/30-16 76 10 32 54 W 26 1 1310 NW 35 39978 P 10/30-17 76 10 31 55 W 26 1 1130 NW 31 31776 P 10/30-18 50 9 30 57 W 25 40 2 1 N52 950 NW 29 23573 P 10/30-19 50 9 28 61 W 24 1 847 NW 26 19775 P 10/30-20 50 9 27 64 W 24 1 744 NW 24 15978 P 10/30-21 50 9 26 65 W 23 35 2 1 N46 641 W 22 12180 P 10/30-22 50 9 25 66 W 23 1 569 W 22 10673 P 10/30-23 50 9 25 67 W 23 1 498 W 21 9165 P 10/31-00 57 9 25 68 W 23 35 2 1 N31 427 W 21 7658 P 10/31-01 57 9 24 69 W 23 1 369 W 21 6634 P 10/31-02 57 9 24 70 W 23 1 310 W 21 5610 P 10/31-03 57 9 24 72 W 23 35 2 1 NW30 252 W 21 4586 P 10/31-04 57 9 23 73 W 23 1 258 W 22 4842 P 10/31-05 57 9 23 74 W 22 1 264 W 22 5097 P 10/31-06 43 9 23 76 W 22 33 3 1 N40 270 W 23 5352 P 10/31-07 43 9 23 75 W 22 1 366 W 23 7561 P 10/31-08 43 9 25 68 W 21 1 461 W 24 9770 P 10/31-09 43 9 29 59 W 21 31 4 1 NW39 557 W 25 11979 P 10/31-10 43 9 32 54 W 21 1 725 W 26 17136 P 10/31-11 43 9 35 52 W 20 1 894 W 28 22292 P 10/31-12 26 9 37 53 W 20 30 3 1 NW33 1063 W 30 27449 P 10/31-13 26 9 38 53 W 20 1 1059 W 29 26886 P 10/31-14 26 9 38 53 W 18 1 1055 W 29 26322 P 10/31-15 26 9 39 52 W 18 28 3 1 NW44 1052 W 28 25759 P 10/31-16 26 9 38 54 W 18 1 882 W 26 20898 P 10/31-17 26 9 37 56 W 18 1 712 W 25 16037 P 10/31-18 20 0 35 60 W 18 28 3 1 NW45 542 W 24 11176 P 10/31-19 20 0 33 65 W 18 1 418 W 22 8363 P 10/31-20 20 0 31 67 W 18 1 295 W 21 5551 P 10/31-21 20 0 30 66 W 18 28 3 1 NW43 171 W 18 2738 P 10/31-22 20 0 29 67 W 18 1 161 W 20 2656 P 10/31-23 20 0 28 66 W 20 1 152 W 20 2575 P 11/01-00 26 0 28 66 W 20 30 3 1 W41 142 W 21 2494 P 11/01-01 26 0 27 66 W 20 1 136 W 21 2400 P 11/01-02 26 0 27 66 W 21 1 130 W 21 2306 P 11/01-03 26 0 26 66 W 21 31 3 1 W46 123 W 21 2212 P 11/01-04 26 0 26 65 W 21 1 118 W 21 2100 P 11/01-05 26 0 25 66 W 20 1 113 W 21 1989 P 11/01-06 29 3 25 66 W 20 30 3 1 W46 108 W 20 1877 P 11/01-07 29 3 25 67 W 5 1 129 W 16 1619 P 11/01-08 29 3 28 62 W 5 1 150 W 12 1362 P 11/01-09 29 3 32 54 W 5 5 3 1 W43 171 W 7 1104 P 11/01-10 29 3 36 47 W 5 1 414 W 10 5399 P 11/01-11 29 3 39 43 W 6 1 658 W 15 9695 P 11/01-12 39 3 41 41 NW 7 7 3 1 W41 902 W 18 13990 P 11/01-13 39 3 43 41 W 9 1 1134 W 21 20780 P 11/01-14 39 3 43 42 W 12 1 1366 W 23 27571 P 11/01-15 39 3 44 41 W 15 15 3 1 W40 1598 W 25 34362 P 11/01-16 39 3 43 42 W 18 1 1303 W 24 27744 P 11/01-17 39 3 42 44 W 21 1 1007 W 24 21126 P 11/01-18 39 3 39 48 W 23 35 3 1 W45 712 W 23 14508 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JULIE STENNES REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091030.SUGAR.01/BOU