FNUS75 KBOU 312312 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF F1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 512 PM MDT SAT OCT 31 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE WILL BE A WEAK PUSH OF COOLER AIR SUNDAY THAT DROP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES AND STABILIZE THE AIRMASS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRINGING EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A STRONG CAP ON MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MAX HUMIDITY........63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MIN HUMIDITY........28-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF F1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/31-16 5 0 48 34 W 18 1 2450 NW 20 40380 F 10/31-17 5 0 46 38 W 18 1 1873 W 20 31162 P 10/31-18 16 0 43 45 W 18 28 3 1 W40 1296 W 20 21943 P 10/31-19 16 0 38 53 W 18 1 960 W 20 16161 P 10/31-20 16 0 34 58 W 18 1 623 W 18 10379 P 10/31-21 16 0 33 59 W 18 28 3 1 W45 287 W 18 4598 P 10/31-22 16 0 31 62 W 18 1 248 W 18 3946 P 10/31-23 16 0 30 63 W 18 1 209 W 18 3294 P 11/01-00 5 0 29 63 W 18 28 3 1 W48 169 W 18 2643 P 11/01-01 5 0 28 62 W 18 1 159 W 17 2454 P 11/01-02 5 0 27 61 W 17 1 150 W 17 2266 P 11/01-03 5 0 26 60 W 17 26 3 1 NW41 140 W 17 2078 P 11/01-04 5 0 25 59 W 17 1 132 W 17 1955 P 11/01-05 5 0 25 59 W 16 1 125 W 17 1832 P 11/01-06 20 0 24 61 W 16 16 3 1 W39 117 W 17 1709 P 11/01-07 20 0 24 62 W 16 1 143 W 17 2141 P 11/01-08 20 0 26 59 W 17 1 169 W 17 2574 P 11/01-09 20 0 31 50 W 17 26 3 1 NW38 195 W 17 3006 P 11/01-10 20 0 36 42 W 17 1 536 W 20 10784 P 11/01-11 20 0 40 37 W 17 1 877 W 23 18562 P 11/01-12 33 0 42 35 W 17 26 3 1 W36 1217 W 25 26340 P 11/01-13 33 0 43 40 W 18 1 1521 W 28 36934 P 11/01-14 33 0 44 40 W 18 1 1825 W 29 47529 F 11/01-15 33 0 45 40 W 18 28 3 1 W41 2128 W 31 58123 F 11/01-16 33 0 44 41 W 17 1 1836 W 30 48635 F 11/01-17 33 0 42 43 W 15 1 1543 W 29 39148 P 11/01-18 38 0 39 45 W 13 13 3 1 W40 1251 W 28 29661 P 11/01-19 38 0 34 53 W 12 1 912 W 22 20566 P 11/01-20 38 0 31 61 W 12 1 573 W 17 11472 P 11/01-21 38 0 30 66 W 10 10 2 1 NW39 234 W 12 2377 P 11/01-22 38 0 28 72 W 10 1 208 W 12 2075 P 11/01-23 38 0 27 76 W 10 1 181 W 12 1773 P 11/02-00 56 10 26 80 W 10 10 2 1 NW37 154 W 12 1471 P 11/02-01 56 10 25 83 W 10 1 147 W 12 1446 P 11/02-02 56 10 24 85 W 10 1 141 W 12 1422 P 11/02-03 56 10 23 86 W 10 10 2 1 NW39 134 W 12 1398 P 11/02-04 56 10 23 86 W 10 1 130 W 12 1327 P 11/02-05 56 10 22 85 W 10 1 126 W 12 1257 P 11/02-06 41 10 22 86 W 10 10 2 1 NW36 121 W 12 1187 P 11/02-07 41 10 22 85 W 9 1 161 W 10 1297 P 11/02-08 41 10 23 80 W 8 1 200 W 8 1406 P 11/02-09 41 10 28 69 W 6 6 2 1 NW39 239 W 7 1516 P 11/02-10 41 10 32 60 W 5 1 903 W 10 11873 P 11/02-11 41 10 36 55 W 3 1 1567 W 14 22229 P 11/02-12 41 10 37 53 W 2 2 3 1 NW32 2231 W 17 32585 P 11/02-13 41 10 39 52 W 3 1 2266 W 17 33841 P 11/02-14 41 10 39 51 W 3 1 2301 W 17 35097 P 11/02-15 41 10 40 50 W 3 3 3 1 NW39 2336 W 18 36352 P 11/02-16 41 10 39 51 W 5 1 1806 W 16 26859 P 11/02-17 41 10 38 54 W 5 1 1277 W 14 17366 P 11/02-18 16 0 36 58 W 6 6 2 1 W41 747 W 13 7873 P 11/02-19 16 0 33 64 W 7 1 561 W 12 5855 P 11/02-20 16 0 31 70 W 8 1 375 W 12 3837 P 11/02-21 16 0 30 71 W 9 9 2 1 NW51 189 W 12 1818 P 11/02-22 16 0 29 73 W 9 1 177 W 12 1800 P 11/02-23 16 0 28 73 W 10 1 164 W 13 1781 P 11/03-00 16 0 27 74 W 10 10 3 1 NW53 152 W 14 1762 P 11/03-01 16 0 27 74 W 12 1 145 W 15 1823 P 11/03-02 16 0 26 74 W 13 1 137 W 16 1884 P 11/03-03 16 0 26 74 W 14 14 3 1 NW63 129 W 17 1944 P 11/03-04 16 0 25 74 W 14 1 127 W 18 2000 P 11/03-05 16 0 25 73 W 15 1 124 W 20 2055 P 11/03-06 17 0 24 73 W 16 16 3 1 NW76 121 W 20 2110 P 11/03-07 17 0 25 74 W 16 1 208 W 24 4811 P 11/03-08 17 0 28 66 W 16 1 295 W 28 7511 P 11/03-09 17 0 34 53 W 17 17 3 1 NW75 381 W 31 10211 P 11/03-10 17 0 40 43 W 17 1 1428 W 39 62482 G 11/03-11 17 0 45 36 W 17 1 2475 W 47 114752 V 11/03-12 17 0 47 33 W 17 17 4 1 NW73 3523 W 54 167023 E 11/03-13 17 0 49 32 W 15 1 3935 W 54 184668 E 11/03-14 17 0 50 32 W 13 1 4348 W 54 202313 E 11/03-15 17 0 51 32 W 10 10 4 1 NW73 4760 W 53 219958 E 11/03-16 17 0 50 34 W 9 1 4519 W 51 198026 E 11/03-17 17 0 48 37 W 9 1 4278 W 47 176094 E 11/03-18 14 0 45 41 W 9 9 3 1 NW68 4037 W 44 154162 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091101.SUGAR.01/BOU