FNUS75 KBOU 031602 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEVEN MILE SP...CSFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 900 AM MST TUE NOV 3 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS ALOFT. THERE WILL BE SOME WARMING IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO A MID LEVEL INVERSION DEVELOPING. THIS WILL LIMIT THE GOOD DISPERSION TO A FEW HOURS DURING AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL QUICKLY STABILIZE BY THE EVENING. ON THURSDAY... THE HIGH WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST...ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN WINDS ALOFT. THE AIRMASS SHOULD BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO PROVIDE DECENT MIXING DURING THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. GOOD BETWEEN 1400 AND 1600. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELEVEN MILE SP. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/03-08 12 0 31 56 W 9 9 4 1 NW59 178 W 13 1914 P 11/03-09 12 0 36 45 W 10 1 805 W 16 16196 P 11/03-10 12 0 43 34 W 10 1 1431 W 21 30479 P 11/03-11 14 0 47 29 W 12 12 4 1 NW58 2057 W 25 44761 F 11/03-12 14 0 51 24 W 12 1 2765 W 24 58228 F 11/03-13 14 0 53 22 W 10 1 3473 W 24 71695 G 11/03-14 14 0 53 21 W 10 10 4 1 NW68 4181 W 23 85161 G 11/03-15 14 0 52 22 W 9 1 3482 W 20 64156 G 11/03-16 14 0 50 25 W 7 1 2783 W 16 43151 F 11/03-17 9 0 47 28 SW 6 6 4 1 NW67 2083 W 13 22145 P 11/03-18 9 0 43 34 SW 6 1 1462 W 10 15223 P 11/03-19 9 0 39 42 W 6 1 841 W 9 8301 P 11/03-20 9 0 35 51 W 6 6 4 1 NW55 220 W 7 1379 P 11/03-21 9 0 33 55 W 6 1 203 W 7 1300 P 11/03-22 9 0 31 57 W 7 1 186 W 8 1222 P 11/03-23 9 0 30 59 W 7 7 3 1 NW52 170 W 8 1143 P 11/04-00 9 0 30 59 W 7 1 164 W 8 1086 P 11/04-01 9 0 29 60 W 7 1 158 W 7 1028 P 11/04-02 9 0 29 60 W 7 7 4 1 NW47 152 W 7 970 P 11/04-03 9 0 28 60 W 7 1 141 W 7 804 P 11/04-04 9 0 27 60 W 7 1 129 W 6 638 P 11/04-05 13 0 26 61 W 3 3 5 1 NW51 118 W 5 471 P 11/04-06 13 0 26 62 W 3 1 169 W 6 832 P 11/04-07 13 0 30 54 W 3 1 219 W 6 1193 P 11/04-08 13 0 37 41 SW 5 5 5 1 NW45 269 W 7 1553 P 11/04-09 13 0 45 31 SW 5 1 1322 W 8 12710 P 11/04-10 13 0 51 25 SW 5 1 2376 W 10 23867 P 11/04-11 13 0 54 22 S 5 5 5 1 NW38 3429 W 12 35023 P 11/04-12 13 0 57 20 S 5 1 4002 W 14 47693 F 11/04-13 13 0 57 19 S 5 1 4575 W 15 60362 G 11/04-14 13 0 58 18 SW 6 6 5 1 NW36 5148 W 16 73032 G 11/04-15 13 0 57 19 SW 6 1 3833 W 14 51991 F 11/04-16 13 0 55 21 SW 6 1 2518 W 12 30950 P 11/04-17 8 0 50 25 SW 6 6 5 1 W30 1203 W 9 9909 P 11/04-18 8 0 44 32 SW 6 1 854 W 9 6945 P 11/04-19 8 0 39 39 SW 6 1 505 W 8 3981 P 11/04-20 8 0 37 44 W 7 7 5 1 W23 157 W 7 1017 P 11/04-21 8 0 35 48 W 7 1 144 W 8 946 P 11/04-22 8 0 33 50 W 7 1 131 W 8 875 P 11/04-23 8 0 32 53 W 7 7 5 1 W21 119 W 8 804 P 11/05-00 8 0 30 55 W 7 1 111 W 8 730 P 11/05-01 8 0 29 58 W 6 1 104 W 7 655 P 11/05-02 8 0 28 60 W 6 6 5 1 W24 97 W 7 581 P 11/05-03 8 0 27 61 W 6 1 93 W 7 531 P 11/05-04 8 0 27 62 W 5 1 89 W 6 482 P 11/05-05 16 0 26 60 W 5 5 5 1 W28 85 W 6 433 P 11/05-06 16 0 26 58 W 5 1 110 W 6 613 P 11/05-07 16 0 29 51 W 5 1 135 W 7 793 P 11/05-08 16 0 37 38 W 5 5 4 1 W22 160 W 7 973 P 11/05-09 16 0 45 29 W 5 1 1710 W 13 36011 P 11/05-10 16 0 52 24 SW 6 1 3259 W 20 71049 G 11/05-11 16 0 55 22 SW 6 6 3 1 W23 4809 W 25 106087 V 11/05-12 16 0 58 20 SW 7 1 6062 W 25 129084 V 11/05-13 16 0 59 20 W 7 1 7314 W 24 152081 E 11/05-14 16 0 60 19 W 8 8 3 1 W38 8567 W 23 175078 E 11/05-15 16 0 59 19 W 9 1 6550 W 23 131633 V 11/05-16 16 0 56 21 W 9 1 4533 W 22 88187 G 11/05-17 23 0 52 25 W 10 16 3 1 W41 2516 W 21 44741 F 11/05-18 23 0 45 32 W 10 1 1752 W 17 30635 P 11/05-19 23 0 41 39 W 10 1 989 W 15 16529 P 11/05-20 23 0 39 42 W 10 16 2 1 W40 225 W 13 2423 P 11/05-21 23 0 37 46 W 10 1 200 W 13 2127 P 11/05-22 23 0 35 49 W 10 1 176 W 12 1830 P 11/05-23 23 0 34 51 W 10 16 2 1 W37 151 W 12 1533 P 11/06-00 23 0 33 53 W 10 1 142 W 12 1459 P 11/06-01 23 0 31 54 W 10 1 132 W 13 1384 P 11/06-02 23 0 30 55 W 10 16 2 1 W31 122 W 13 1309 P 11/06-03 23 0 30 56 W 10 1 120 W 13 1305 P 11/06-04 23 0 29 57 W 10 1 118 W 13 1302 P 11/06-05 37 0 28 58 W 12 17 2 1 W28 116 W 13 1299 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091104.ELEVE.01/BOU