FNUS72 KMFL 041520
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PICAYUNE STRAND STATE FOREST BURN...FLORIDA DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1020 AM EST WED NOV 4 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE

DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL VERY SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND BE NEAR THE FIRE SITE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO
THE NORTH. THE HIGH WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH NORTHEAST TRANSPORT WIND INCREASING ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION VALUES BY THIS
AFTERNOON BECOMING VERY GOOD THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT TODAY HAS INCREASED DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE SLIGHTLY AND THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
TODAY WITH A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH...DRIER AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN
MOVE INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH THE CHANCES FOR RAIN DIMINISHING.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AM EST 11/04/09

___________________________________________________________________
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY
TIME(EST)                         NOON         3PM          6PM
___________________________________________________________________
SKY..................             PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
WX...................             SHRA         SHRA         SHRA
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%).             20           20           20
TEMP (F).............             84           84           77
DEW PT (F)...........             66           66           67
RH (%)...............             54           54           71
20 FT WIND (MPH).....             N-3          N-4          N-3
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL).             3200         4500         4000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH).             NE-9         NE-6         NE-9
LAL..................             1            1            1
LDSI.................             34           32           47
LVORI................             1            1            1

___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
___________________________________________________________________

SKY.................... PARTLY CLOUDY.
WX..................... ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
POP(%)................. 20
MIN TEMPERATURE (F).... 65
MAX DEW PT (F)......... 67
MAX RH (%)............. 97
AVG 20FT WIND (MPH).... NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
MIN LDSI............... 5
MAX LVORI.............. 6
___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
___________________________________________________________________

SKY/WX................. SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE (F).... 86
MIN DEW PT (F)......... 62
MIN RH (%)............. 45
AVG 20FT WIND (MPH).... LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                        THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
AVG TRANS WIND (MPH)... NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MAX LDSI............... 61
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL)...  4500

NO WX  = NO WEATHER          MOCLR  = MOSTLY CLEAR
SHRA   = SHOWERS             PTCLDY = PARTLY CLOUDY
TSRA   = THUNDERSTORMS       MOCLDY = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CLR    = CLEAR               CLDY   = CLOUDY

$$

KASPER