FNUS73 KPAH 041453 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SKUNK RIDGE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 853 AM CST WED NOV 4 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO LOWER MIN RH'S. OTHERWISE... THE COLD FRONT WAS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE CROSSING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CAPE GIRARDEAU AROUND NOON AND EXIT THE FORT CAMPBELL AREA BY 6 PM. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE COLD FRONTS PASSAGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 63 65 66 66 64 59 RH..............39 34 33 32 33 36 44 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 23 24 25 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 49 46 44 42 40 RH..............53 71 76 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 5 N 4 N 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1300 1700 2000 1700 1300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25 N 24 N 22 N 20 N 17 N 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 48 57 60 RH..............85 58 40 36 20 FT WIND......N 2 NE 4G5 SE 4G5 S 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1800 2500 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 NE 9 E 5 SE 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091104.SKUNK.02/PAH