FNUS75 KGJT 051539
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
839 AM MST THU NOV 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS WILL BREAK LATE THIS MORNING WHEN THE
TEMPERATURE REACHES AROUND 50 DEGREES.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL
THEN MIX DOWN AND ENHANCE THE NORMAL UPSLOPE WINDS. A FEW STRONGER
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A SHALLOW INVERSION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND THE MOUNTAINTOP
MAY STAY IN THE WARM AIR WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. THE TEMP/HUMIDITY
IN THE FORECAST MAY BE TOO COOL FOR THE RIDGE AREAS.

ON FRIDAY INVERSIONS WILL BREAK BY LATE MORNING AND THERE WILL BE
A BIT MORE WIND. A TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE AREA WILL BRING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    7-14 MPH BY 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR (40000
                    KNOT-FT) BY 1030 AND GOOD (90000 KNOT-FT) BY
                    1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FEET AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1030
                    AND 6000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 MPH
                    BY 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    10-18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) BECOMING FAIR (45000 KNOT-FT)
                    BY 1100 AND INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (125000
                    KNOT-FT) BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1100 AND 5000 FT AGL BY
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 25-35. HIGHS 57-67. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 25-35. HIGHS 48-58. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS 24-34. HIGHS 46-56.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091105.BURNS.02/GJT