FNUS73 KLOT 051355 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR OB RESEARCH-CHELLBURG...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 755 AM CST THU NOV 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON NOVEMBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE NOW CENTERED OVER MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO EXTEND FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA BY 1800 CST THIS EVENING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 17 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /28100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR /47200 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........27 26 26 26 24 22 21 19 18 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 45 48 50 51 52 51 50 47 RH..............66 60 53 50 48 47 48 51 57 20 FT WIND DIR..280 280 270 270 270 270 270 270 280 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.1 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.290 290 280 270 270 270 270 270 270 TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 VRATE KT-FT/100021 28 35 41 46 47 44 32 17 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-4900 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........16 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 18 19 21 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 43 42 41 40 39 38 38 37 37 37 36 RH..............62 64 67 70 72 75 78 78 80 82 84 86 20 FT WIND DIR..280 270 260 250 240 220 220 210 200 190 170 160 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.280 270 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 9 7 5 2 2 3 6 9 13 15 VRATE KT-FT/10005 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1200-57200 KNOT-FT). TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........23 24 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 37 39 44 47 52 55 56 57 56 55 54 RH..............87 86 81 69 64 55 51 50 49 51 53 55 20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 160 160 160 160 170 170 170 170 170 180 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.150 150 160 160 160 170 180 180 180 170 170 170 TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 23 25 28 30 31 32 32 32 32 33 VRATE KT-FT/10004 2 1 6 23 43 57 55 45 33 25 18 $$ FORECASTER...MERZLOCK REQUESTED BY...NEAL MULCONREY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091105.OBRES.01/LOT