FNUS76 KMFR 051309
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR VALLEY UNIT 43...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
509 AM PST THU NOV 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA
THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM LATE MORNING AND
COULD BE VERY GUSTY IN EXPOSED AREAS. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE BURN AREA EARLY IN THE EVENING WITH ACCUMULATION UP TO
0.15 INCH OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A COOL AND SHOWERY PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 6 TO 9 MPH AFTER 1000 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH IN EXPOSED AREAS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH UNTIL LATE IN THE EVENING
                    THEN DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH.
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING...OTHERWISE
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN PYLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091105.BEARV.01/MFR