FNUS76 KSTO 061401
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK...ELDORADO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
601 AM PST FRI NOV 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 PST ON NOVEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH INTO THE AREA BY LATE MORNING AND
LINGER TODAY BEFORE FINALLY PUSHING THROUGH THE BURN SITE THIS
EVENING. THE FRONT WILL NOT HAVE MUCH OF AN IMPACT ON WINDS WITH
BURN AREA IN A WIND PROTECTED AREA. RIDGETOPS SPEEDS ARE NOT
IMPRESSIVE. LIGHT RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY STRONGER NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT. THE NEXT FRONT IMPACT THE REGION TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST UP TO 4 SHIFTING SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH IN
    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN
    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........WEST TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
    MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3700-4300 FT AGL IN THE
    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12
    MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 AND 4...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 55 TO 65. RIDGE WINDS
NORTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING WEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35 TO 45. HIGHS 55 TO 65. RIDGE WINDS
NORTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JMC
REQUESTED BY...CARA SCOTT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091105.BEARC.02/STO

$$