FNUS75 KBOU 052034 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JOSEPHINE ROCHE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 130 PM MST THU NOV 5 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY ON FRIDAY EXCEPT FOR SOME STRONGER WEST WINDS THAT COULD BECOME GUSTY. A WEAK SURGE COMES BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND THIS SHOULD LEAVE LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AND COOLER...BUT STILL MILD...CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY. A COOLER FRONT BRINGS SOME UPSLOPE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78. MIN HUMIDITY........9%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1800. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST UNDER 10 MPH BEFORE 1000 SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS UNDER 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JOSEPHINE ROCHE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/05-12 42 0 72 17 SW 8 1 4051 W 16 58802 F 11/05-13 42 0 74 14 SW 9 1 6356 W 16 92960 G 11/05-14 42 0 75 13 SW 10 16 5 1 W 9 8662 W 17 127119 V 11/05-15 42 0 74 14 SW 12 1 6228 W 17 91835 G 11/05-16 42 0 71 15 W 12 1 3794 W 17 56551 F 11/05-17 20 0 67 18 W 12 17 6 1 W13 1360 W 18 21268 P 11/05-18 20 0 62 21 W 9 1 967 W 15 14690 P 11/05-19 20 0 57 26 SW 7 1 575 W 13 8113 P 11/05-20 20 0 52 31 SW 6 6 6 1 W16 183 SW 9 1536 P 11/05-21 20 0 50 34 SW 6 1 163 SW 10 1459 P 11/05-22 20 0 49 36 SW 8 1 142 W 12 1383 P 11/05-23 20 0 48 38 SW 9 9 5 1 W21 122 W 13 1306 P 11/06-00 20 0 46 40 W 10 1 117 W 14 1347 P 11/06-01 20 0 45 42 W 12 1 112 W 15 1389 P 11/06-02 20 0 45 43 W 13 20 5 1 W30 107 W 15 1430 P 11/06-03 20 0 44 44 W 14 1 106 W 16 1482 P 11/06-04 20 0 43 44 W 15 1 106 W 17 1533 P 11/06-05 20 0 44 44 W 16 24 5 1 W36 105 W 17 1585 P 11/06-06 20 0 45 50 W 15 1 134 W 16 1797 P 11/06-07 20 0 46 47 SW 14 1 162 SW 15 2010 P 11/06-08 20 0 50 42 S 13 13 3 1 W37 190 SW 14 2223 P 11/06-09 20 0 59 30 S 13 1 1885 SW 21 54187 F 11/06-10 20 0 66 24 S 13 1 3579 W 28 106151 V 11/06-11 22 0 69 22 S 14 14 3 1 W54 5273 W 35 158114 E 11/06-12 22 0 71 20 SW 16 1 5760 W 36 182493 E 11/06-13 22 0 72 20 W 17 1 6246 W 38 206872 E 11/06-14 22 0 73 19 W 18 24 4 1 W39 6733 W 39 231250 E 11/06-15 22 0 72 20 W 17 1 5873 W 36 188107 E 11/06-16 22 0 70 22 W 14 1 5013 W 32 144964 V 11/06-17 25 0 65 25 W 12 12 4 1 W37 3235 W 35 96812 G 11/06-18 25 0 58 32 W 10 1 2212 W 26 65035 G 11/06-19 25 0 54 37 SW 9 1 1188 W 18 33259 P 11/06-20 25 0 52 41 SW 9 9 3 1 W29 165 SW 10 1483 P 11/06-21 25 0 49 45 SW 9 1 153 SW 9 1280 P 11/06-22 25 0 48 48 SW 8 1 141 SW 9 1077 P 11/06-23 25 0 46 51 SW 8 8 2 1 W37 129 SW 8 875 P 11/07-00 25 0 45 53 SW 8 1 130 SW 8 876 P 11/07-01 25 0 44 55 W 8 1 131 W 8 878 P 11/07-02 25 0 43 57 W 8 8 2 1 W48 133 W 8 879 P 11/07-03 25 0 42 59 W 7 1 145 W 7 889 P 11/07-04 25 0 41 60 W 7 1 157 W 7 899 P 11/07-05 23 0 40 62 W 6 6 3 1 W39 170 W 6 909 P 11/07-06 23 0 40 62 SW 5 1 344 SW 6 1585 P 11/07-07 23 0 42 58 SW 3 1 518 SW 6 2262 P 11/07-08 23 0 48 47 SW 3 3 3 1 SW31 693 SW 5 2939 P 11/07-09 23 0 54 37 SW 3 1 1685 SW 6 11192 P 11/07-10 23 0 59 31 SE 5 1 2678 SW 7 19446 P 11/07-11 23 0 62 28 SE 6 6 3 1 SW33 3670 SW 9 27700 P 11/07-12 23 0 64 26 SE 6 1 4095 SW 9 34251 P 11/07-13 23 0 64 26 SE 6 1 4519 SW 10 40802 F 11/07-14 23 0 65 25 SE 6 6 3 1 W41 4944 SW 12 47352 F 11/07-15 23 0 64 26 E 5 1 3434 W 8 32005 P 11/07-16 23 0 62 28 E 3 1 1923 N 6 16657 P 11/07-17 23 0 58 33 NE 3 3 3 1 W49 413 NE 3 1309 P 11/07-18 23 0 52 40 NE 5 1 331 N 5 1210 P 11/07-19 23 0 49 46 NW 7 1 248 NW 6 1111 P 11/07-20 23 0 47 49 W 8 8 3 1 SW44 166 W 7 1012 P 11/07-21 23 0 45 52 W 8 1 162 W 7 1001 P 11/07-22 23 0 44 54 W 8 1 159 W 7 990 P 11/07-23 23 0 43 57 W 8 8 3 1 SW36 155 W 7 979 P 11/08-00 23 0 42 59 W 8 1 146 W 7 940 P 11/08-01 23 0 41 61 W 7 1 137 W 8 902 P 11/08-02 23 0 40 63 W 7 7 3 1 W35 129 W 8 863 P 11/08-03 23 0 39 65 W 6 1 126 W 7 760 P 11/08-04 23 0 38 66 W 6 1 123 W 6 657 P 11/08-05 53 0 38 74 W 5 5 2 1 W40 120 W 6 554 P 11/08-06 53 0 37 73 W 5 1 194 W 5 651 P 11/08-07 53 0 39 68 SW 5 1 269 W 3 747 P 11/08-08 53 0 44 56 SW 5 5 3 1 W31 343 W 2 843 P 11/08-09 53 0 49 45 S 5 1 1336 W 2 1657 P 11/08-10 53 0 54 37 S 5 1 2330 CALM 2471 P 11/08-11 53 0 56 34 S 5 5 3 1 SW28 3323 CALM 3285 P 11/08-12 53 0 58 32 S 5 1 4102 N 2 7682 P 11/08-13 53 0 58 31 S 5 1 4881 W 2 12078 P 11/08-14 53 0 59 31 SW 5 5 3 1 SW23 5659 SW 3 16475 P 11/08-15 53 0 58 32 W 6 1 4184 S 3 12466 P 11/08-16 53 0 56 35 NW 6 1 2709 E 3 8458 P 11/08-17 66 10 52 38 N 6 6 3 1 W26 1233 NE 5 4449 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...1592 STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091106.JOSEP.01/BOU