FNUS75 KBOU 052238 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 335 PM MST THU NOV 5 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS A STRONGER...WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS COLORADO. THIS WILL LEAD TO STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE EXCELLENT DUE TO THE STRONGER WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST 21-31 MPH. GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-52 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15-21 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2200-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. FAIR AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....49. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .VETERANS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR VASQUEZ RIDGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/05-15 24 0 47 22 W 14 1 4949 W 26 115647 V 11/05-16 24 0 46 24 W 15 1 4392 W 26 102187 V 11/05-17 11 0 44 26 W 16 25 2 1 W31 3835 W 26 88728 G 11/05-18 11 0 42 30 SW 15 1 2830 W 24 64098 G 11/05-19 11 0 40 33 SW 15 1 1824 SW 23 39468 P 11/05-20 11 0 39 35 SW 14 22 2 1 W37 818 SW 21 14837 P 11/05-21 11 0 38 37 SW 14 1 701 SW 21 12753 P 11/05-22 11 0 37 39 SW 14 1 584 SW 21 10668 P 11/05-23 11 0 37 40 SW 14 22 2 1 W41 467 SW 21 8584 P 11/06-00 11 0 36 41 SW 14 1 440 SW 22 8244 P 11/06-01 11 0 36 42 SW 15 1 413 W 22 7904 P 11/06-02 11 0 35 42 SW 15 24 2 1 W55 386 W 23 7564 P 11/06-03 11 0 35 42 SW 15 1 370 W 23 7317 P 11/06-04 11 0 35 43 W 15 1 354 W 23 7070 P 11/06-05 17 0 34 43 W 15 24 2 1 W44 338 W 23 6823 P 11/06-06 17 0 34 45 W 16 1 511 W 25 12082 P 11/06-07 17 0 36 43 W 17 1 684 W 28 17341 P 11/06-08 17 0 39 39 W 18 30 2 1 W58 857 W 30 22601 P 11/06-09 17 0 43 35 W 22 1 2292 W 39 97553 G 11/06-10 17 0 46 32 W 24 1 3726 W 47 172505 E 11/06-11 17 0 48 31 W 28 44 4 1 W61 5160 W 55 247457 E 11/06-12 17 0 49 29 W 28 1 5281 W 54 248521 E 11/06-13 17 0 49 29 W 28 1 5402 W 53 249585 E 11/06-14 17 0 50 28 W 28 44 4 1 W59 5522 W 52 250649 E 11/06-15 17 0 49 29 W 25 1 5369 W 51 237261 E 11/06-16 17 0 48 30 W 24 1 5216 W 49 223874 E 11/06-17 32 0 46 31 W 22 35 3 1 W64 5054 W 53 230416 E 11/06-18 32 0 44 34 W 20 1 4558 W 48 193919 E 11/06-19 32 0 42 37 W 18 1 4061 W 44 157422 E 11/06-20 32 0 41 40 W 16 25 3 1 W47 3565 W 39 120925 V 11/06-21 32 0 40 45 W 14 1 3307 W 38 109717 V 11/06-22 32 0 39 48 W 13 1 3049 W 37 98509 G 11/06-23 32 0 39 51 SW 12 12 2 1 W41 2792 W 36 87302 G 11/07-00 32 0 38 52 SW 10 1 2574 W 35 76958 G 11/07-01 32 0 38 53 SW 10 1 2357 W 32 66614 G 11/07-02 32 0 38 53 SW 10 10 2 1 W58 2139 W 30 56270 F 11/07-03 32 0 37 53 SW 10 1 2152 W 30 56122 F 11/07-04 32 0 37 52 W 10 1 2164 W 30 55974 F 11/07-05 37 0 37 51 W 10 10 2 1 W66 2176 W 30 55826 F 11/07-06 37 0 36 49 W 10 1 2958 W 30 79568 G 11/07-07 37 0 37 46 W 10 1 3740 W 31 103309 V 11/07-08 37 0 40 40 W 10 10 2 1 W62 4522 W 32 127051 V 11/07-09 37 0 43 36 W 12 1 5239 W 33 154494 E 11/07-10 37 0 45 32 W 13 1 5956 W 35 181937 E 11/07-11 37 0 47 31 W 14 22 2 1 W61 6672 W 36 209380 E 11/07-12 37 0 47 30 W 15 1 6805 W 37 220408 E 11/07-13 37 0 48 29 W 15 1 6939 W 38 231435 E 11/07-14 37 0 48 29 W 15 24 2 1 W62 7072 W 39 242463 E 11/07-15 37 0 48 30 W 13 1 6506 W 38 214288 E 11/07-16 37 0 46 31 W 12 1 5941 W 36 186113 E 11/07-17 39 0 44 34 SW 9 9 2 1 W54 5376 W 33 157938 E 11/07-18 39 0 41 37 SW 7 1 4619 W 30 126044 V 11/07-19 39 0 39 40 SW 6 1 3862 SW 26 94149 G 11/07-20 39 0 38 41 SW 6 6 2 1 SW47 3105 SW 23 62255 G 11/07-21 39 0 37 43 SW 6 1 2630 SW 22 50584 F 11/07-22 39 0 37 44 S 6 1 2155 SW 20 38913 P 11/07-23 39 0 36 45 S 6 6 2 1 SW52 1679 SW 18 27242 P 11/08-00 39 0 35 47 S 6 1 1592 SW 18 26116 P 11/08-01 39 0 35 48 S 6 1 1505 SW 20 24989 P 11/08-02 39 0 34 50 S 6 6 2 1 SW45 1418 SW 20 23862 P 11/08-03 39 0 34 51 S 6 1 1297 W 18 21480 P 11/08-04 39 0 34 52 S 7 1 1177 W 18 19097 P 11/08-05 58 10 33 58 S 7 7 2 1 SW51 1056 W 18 16715 P 11/08-06 58 10 33 58 S 8 1 1974 W 20 37473 P 11/08-07 58 10 34 56 S 9 1 2893 W 22 58230 F 11/08-08 58 10 36 51 SW 10 10 2 1 SW52 3811 W 24 78988 G 11/08-09 58 10 39 46 SW 13 1 4515 W 23 89370 G 11/08-10 58 10 41 41 SW 14 1 5219 W 22 99753 G 11/08-11 58 10 42 39 SW 14 22 2 1 SW51 5924 W 22 110136 V 11/08-12 58 10 43 38 SW 14 1 6408 W 21 115806 V 11/08-13 58 10 43 38 SW 13 1 6893 W 21 121476 V 11/08-14 58 10 44 38 SW 12 12 2 1 W44 7378 W 20 127146 V 11/08-15 58 10 43 39 W 9 1 6756 W 20 114106 V 11/08-16 58 10 42 41 W 8 1 6134 W 18 101065 V 11/08-17 79 20 39 42 W 7 7 2 1 W40 5512 W 18 88025 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...PAUL MINTIER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20091106.VASQU.01/BOU