FNUS75 KGJT 060618
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRST NOTCH RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1118 PM MST THU NOV 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT
TODAY. IT WILL ALSO BRING INCREASING MOISTURE TO THE BURN SITE FROM
A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS WILL LEAD
TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY BUT SOME DRYING IS
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING (20-30%)...THEN INCREASING
                    CLOUDS (60-70%). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON
                    SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) AFTER 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-23%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...JACOB THELEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091106.FIRST.01/GJT