FNUS73 KJKL 062227
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUREL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
527 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO OUR EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND BRING MODERATING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MOISTURE WILL BE SLOW TO INCREASE AND RH MAY DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS ON SATURDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTERNOON
RH ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST RIDGETOPS ABOVE 2500
FEET MAY EXPERIENCE RH DROPPING BELOW 20 PERCENT ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN RATHER CHILLY IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS...BUT WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER ON THE RIDGETOPS.
THIS WILL LEAD TO LOWER RH RECOVERIES ON THE RIDGETOPS.

NOTE: THE TABULAR DATA IS REPRESENTATIVE OF THE RIDGETOP LOCATIONS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34 VALLEY BOTTOMS...AROUND 41 RIDGETOPS.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT VALLEY BOTTOMS...77 PERCENT RIDGETOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........CALM IN VALLEY BOTTOMS...SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH RIDGETOPS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........2      2      2      2      2      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     53     50     46     44     40
RH..............45     48     56     66     70     77
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 5    S 4    S 3    S 3    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8      7      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 TO 36 PERCENT SHELTERED VALLEY BOTTOMS AND
                    NORTH SLOPES...23 PERCENT SOUTH AND WEST
                    SLOPES AND RIDGETOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    AROUND 1200.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7
                    TO 11 MPH AROUND 1200.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7
                    TO 11 MPH AROUND 1200.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      1      3      4      5      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     49     62     68     70     64
RH..............98     80     46     29     26     33
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 8    SW 9   SW 9   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091107.LAURE.01/JKL