FNUS73 KJKL 071645 AAA
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAUREL CREEK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1145 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT COMBINED WITH STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT WILL BRING SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...ESPECIALLY ON SURROUNDING RIDGETOPS. DRIER AIR
FROM ALOFT WILL ALSO MIX DOWN...BRINGING MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DOWN
TO AROUND 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER ON SUNDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 22 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 PERCENT.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     69     70     62
RH..............27     23     21     27
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 10  SW 9   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      4      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     52     49     48     46     44
RH..............49     60     69     73     78     80
20 FT WIND......SW 7   S 3    S 3    S 2    SW 1   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 3 TO 5 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      7      8      6      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     50     60     67     69     65
RH..............82     63     44     36     33     39
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 2   SW 3   S 3    S 3    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...GEOGERIAN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091107.LAURE.02/JKL